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Ulaanbaatar v Central Stallions
Ulaanbaatar
Central StallionsPremier League · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ulaanbaatar win at 62%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Ulaanbaatar 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–19–19
- 1′KICK-OFF Ulaanbaatar v Central Stallions
- 3′We said Ulaanbaatar at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–11–8
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Ulaanbaatar 1–0 Central Stallions
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Ulaanbaatar win: 62% at kick-off, 81% now
- 4′Ulaanbaatar score on 3′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–11–8
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.9 we expected. 1–0 · 81–13–7
- 45′SECOND HALF Ulaanbaatar 1–0 Central Stallions
- 48′HALF-TIME Ulaanbaatar 1–0 Central Stallions
- 55′We said Ulaanbaatar at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Ulaanbaatar win: 62% at kick-off, 82% now
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Ulaanbaatar 2–0 Central Stallions
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Ulaanbaatar win: 62% at kick-off, 96% now
- 56′Ulaanbaatar find the net on 56′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1
- 83′We said Ulaanbaatar at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Ulaanbaatar 2–0 Central Stallions
- FTUlaanbaatar 2–0 Central Stallions · Ulaanbaatar win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Ulaanbaatar are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ulaanbaatar 62%, draw 19%, Central Stallions 19%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Ulaanbaatar win62%
Central Stallions win19%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
UlaanbaatarMIN
Central StallionsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ulaanbaatar
Central Stallions
Last match: 14 Oct · Premier League (Mongolia)
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Mongolia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ulaanbaatar a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 59%, 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaanbaatar win | 62% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| Central Stallions win | 19% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% | – | – |
| Ulaanbaatar or draw | 81% | – | – |
| Ulaanbaatar clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Central Stallions clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 17 Sept
ULAANBAATAR
CENTRAL STALLIONS
The table
2027| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | +22 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | +33 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | +17 | 17 |
| 4 | Hunters | 7 | +10 | 12 |
| 5 | Khovd | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Erchim | 7 | −15 | 6 |
| 7 | Amtat FC | 7 | −24 | 6 |
| 8 | Khovd Western | 7 | −22 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 7 | −24 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Deren
Hunters
Khovd
Erchim
Amtat FC
Khovd Western
Ulaangom City