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Khovd Western v Hunters

Khovd Western

2–6Full time

Hunters

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 11:42

Khovd Western 2–6 Hunters HUNTERS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hunters win~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.083

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hunters win at 77%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Hunters 77% before kick-off, 81% now. 0–0 · 9–10–81
1′KICK-OFF Khovd Western v Hunters
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Khovd Western 0–1 Hunters
25′A goal for Hunters on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–7–89
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Hunters win: 77% at kick-off, 89% now
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Khovd Western 1–1 Hunters
36′29′ and it is 1–1: Khovd Western have scored. 1–1 · 12–17–71
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Hunters win: 77% at kick-off, 71% now
45′HALF-TIME Khovd Western 1–1 Hunters
46′SECOND HALF Khovd Western 1–1 Hunters
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Khovd Western 2–1 Hunters
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Khovd Western 2–2 Hunters
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Khovd Western 2–3 Hunters
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Khovd Western 2–4 Hunters
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Khovd Western 2–5 Hunters
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Khovd Western 2–6 Hunters
FTFULL TIME Khovd Western 2–6 Hunters
FTKhovd Western 2–6 Hunters · Hunters win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Khovd Western win12%

Draw12%

Hunters win77%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hunters winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Hunters a 77% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–4.1, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Khovd Western win	12%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Hunters win	77%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	87%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	75%	–	–
Khovd Western or draw	23%	–	–
Khovd Western clean sheet	4%	–	–
Hunters clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 5.7%

0123450 2.2 3.8 4.2 3.7 3.01 3.7 5.3 5.7 4.9 3.82 2.5 3.8 4.1 3.5 2.73 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Khovd Western down, Hunters across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 703 Premier League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 1.33 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Khovd Western at home: 2.17 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hunters away: 4.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Khovd Western, 4.06 for Hunters. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.33

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~HUN 2–0 KHO · HUN 0–0 KHO · KHO 0–2 HUN

Form · last six in Premier League

KHOVD WESTERN

WLWLLL3–1 · 0–4 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 1–5 · 4–8

HUNTERS

WLLLWW11–1 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 3–5 · 4–2 · 6–1

The table

2027/28

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Central Stallions	6	+21	18
2	Deren	6	+13	14
3	Ulaanbaatar	5	+23	13
4	Khovd	5	0	7
5	Hunters	5	+1	6
6	Erchim	5	−8	6
7	Khovd Western	5	−10	3
8	Amtat FC	5	−18	3
9	Ulaangom City	6	−22	0