Home › Football › Premier League › Khovd Western v Amtat FC
Back

Khovd Western v Amtat FC
Khovd Western
Amtat FCPremier League · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Khovd Western win at 49%.
- 45′A goal for Amtat FC on 45′. 0–0 · 43–25–32
- 45′Much as we predicted: Khovd Western was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–32
- 46′We said Khovd Western at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–13–79
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Khovd Western 0–2 Amtat FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Khovd Western 0–2 Amtat FC
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Khovd Western win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Amtat FC win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Khovd Western win 43%)
- 61′We said Khovd Western at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–85
- 68′Khovd Western find the net on 68′. 1–2. 1–2 · 11–23–66
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Khovd Western 1–2 Amtat FC
- 69′We said Khovd Western at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–2 · 10–23–67
- 92′A goal for Amtat FC on 90′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Khovd Western 1–3 Amtat FC
- FTFULL TIME Khovd Western 1–3 Amtat FC
- FTKhovd Western 1–3 Amtat FC · Khovd Western win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Khovd Western are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Khovd Western 49%, draw 17%, Amtat FC 34%. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 84%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off
Khovd Western win49%
Amtat FC win34%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:00
RoundMatchday 10
Match timeline
All events
Khovd WesternMIN
Amtat FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Khovd Western
Amtat FC
Last match: 19 Oct · Premier League (Mongolia)
Last match: 19 Oct · Premier League (Mongolia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Khovd Western a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.0–2.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khovd Western win | 49% | 40% | +9 |
| Draw | 17% | 19% | −2 |
| Amtat FC win | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 86% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 84% | 85% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 77% | 72% | +5 |
| Khovd Western or draw | 66% | 59% | +7 |
| Khovd Western clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
| Amtat FC clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026/27Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 20 Sept
KHOVD WESTERN
AMTAT FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 8 | +35 | 22 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 8 | +20 | 21 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | +17 | 17 |
| 4 | Hunters | 8 | +14 | 15 |
| 5 | Khovd | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Erchim | 8 | −19 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 8 | −21 | 6 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 8 | −25 | 6 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 7 | −24 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ulaanbaatar
Central Stallions
Deren
Hunters
Khovd
Erchim
Ulaangom City