Hunters v Central Stallions prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HuntersDrawCentral Stallions

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 05:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hunters 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Hunters just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hunters 41%, draw 19%, Central Stallions 39%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Hunters v Central StallionsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hunters win41%

Draw19%

Central Stallions win39%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hunters

Central Stallions

11Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Mongolia)

Last match: 25 Oct · Premier League (Mongolia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Central Stallions	9	+19	21
4	Hunters	8	+14	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hunters winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Hunters a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–2.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hunters v Central Stallions~~2.21 – 2.20

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 26 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 21~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hunters win	41%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Central Stallions win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Hunters or draw	61%	–	–
Hunters clean sheet	13%	–	–
Central Stallions clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 6.4%

0123450 2.1 2.8 3.2 2.3 1 2.8 6.4 6.0 4.3 2.5 2 3.3 6.2 6.2 4.4 2.5 3 2.4 4.7 4.6 3.2 4 2.7 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hunters down, Central Stallions across0–5 goals a side shown (92.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 716 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 89.2% of games this season, across 37 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 4.17 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hunters at home: 4.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Central Stallions away: 2.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Hunters, 2.20 for Central Stallions. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~4.17

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~CEN 3–0 HUN · CEN 1–3 HUN · HUN 1–3 CEN · HUN 1–2 CEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 26 Sept

HUNTERS

LWWWWW3–5 · 4–2 · 6–1 · 6–2 · 6–1 · 5–1

CENTRAL STALLIONS

WWWWLL4–1 · 4–1 · 8–4 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ulaanbaatar	9	+36	25
2	Central Stallions	9	+19	21
3	Deren	8	+17	17
4	Hunters	8	+14	15
5	Khovd	8	+2	10
6	Erchim	9	−18	9
7	Amtat FC	9	−23	9
8	Khovd Western	9	−23	6
9	Ulaangom City	7	−24	0