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Amtat FC v Ulaangom City
Amtat FC
Ulaangom CityPremier League · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Amtat FC win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Amtat FC 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–17–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Amtat FC v Ulaangom City
- 7′A goal for Ulaangom City on 7′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 30–17–53
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Amtat FC 0–1 Ulaangom City
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 30% now
- 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Ulaangom City win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Amtat FC win 30%)
- 8′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–17–53
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Amtat FC 0–2 Ulaangom City
- 12′11′ and it is 0–2: Ulaangom City have scored. 0–2 · 16–13–71
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 16% now
- 13′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 0–2 · 16–13–71
- 18′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–13–72
- 23′Amtat FC find the net on 23′. 1–2. 1–2 · 27–19–55
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Amtat FC 1–2 Ulaangom City
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 27% now
- 24′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–2 · 27–19–55
- 33′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–20–56
- 38′A goal for Amtat FC on 38′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 43–23–34
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Amtat FC 2–2 Ulaangom City
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 43% now
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Amtat FC win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Ulaangom City win 34%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Amtat FC 2–2 Ulaangom City
- 46′SECOND HALF Amtat FC 2–2 Ulaangom City
- 58′The goal count is tracking the 5.7 we expected. 2–2 · 38–31–31
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 63′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–34–30
- 65′Amtat FC score on 65′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 71–20–9
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Amtat FC 3–2 Ulaangom City
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 71% now
- 67′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 3–2 · 72–20–8
- 73′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 3–2 · 75–20–6
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
- 79′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 3–2 · 80–17–3
- 83′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–1
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
- 87′Amtat FC find the net on 87′. 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Amtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 99% now
- 88′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 89′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 90′That is 6, and we only asked for 5.7 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Amtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City
- FTAmtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City · Amtat FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAmtat FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Amtat FC 48%, draw 16%, Ulaangom City 36%. Over 2.5 goals 90%, both teams to score 85%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 15 Oct 08:30 · locked at kick-off
Amtat FC win48%
Ulaangom City win36%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 09:00
Match timeline
All events
Amtat FCMIN
Ulaangom CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Amtat FC
Ulaangom City
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Amtat FC a 48% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–2.6, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 5%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 57%, 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amtat FC win | 48% | – | – |
| Draw | 16% | – | – |
| Ulaangom City win | 36% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 85% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 79% | – | – |
| Amtat FC or draw | 64% | – | – |
| Amtat FC clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
| Ulaangom City clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Premier League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Premier League
AMTAT FC
ULAANGOM CITY
The table
2027/28| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | 22 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 33 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 17 | 17 |
| 4 | Hunters | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Khovd | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Erchim | 7 | -15 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 7 | -22 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 6 | -26 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | -22 | 0 |
The competition's standings.
Central Stallions
Ulaanbaatar
Deren
Hunters
Khovd
Erchim
Khovd Western