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Amtat FC v Ulaangom City

Amtat FC
4–2Full time
Ulaangom City

Premier League · THU 15 OCT

Full timeGraded 15 Oct 11:30
Amtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City AMTAT FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Amtat FC win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.421

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Amtat FC win at 48%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Amtat FC 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–17–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Amtat FC v Ulaangom City
  4. 7′A goal for Ulaangom City on 7′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 30–17–53
  5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Amtat FC 0–1 Ulaangom City
  6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 30% now
  7. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Ulaangom City win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Amtat FC win 30%)
  8. 8′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–17–53
  9. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Amtat FC 0–2 Ulaangom City
  10. 12′11′ and it is 0–2: Ulaangom City have scored. 0–2 · 16–13–71
  11. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 16% now
  12. 13′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 0–2 · 16–13–71
  13. 18′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–13–72
  14. 23′Amtat FC find the net on 23′. 1–2. 1–2 · 27–19–55
  15. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Amtat FC 1–2 Ulaangom City
  16. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 27% now
  17. 24′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–2 · 27–19–55
  18. 33′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–20–56
  19. 38′A goal for Amtat FC on 38′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 43–23–34
  20. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Amtat FC 2–2 Ulaangom City
  21. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 43% now
  22. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Amtat FC win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Ulaangom City win 34%)
  23. 45′HALF-TIME Amtat FC 2–2 Ulaangom City
  24. 46′SECOND HALF Amtat FC 2–2 Ulaangom City
  25. 58′The goal count is tracking the 5.7 we expected. 2–2 · 38–31–31
  26. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
  27. 63′We said Amtat FC at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–34–30
  28. 65′Amtat FC score on 65′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 71–20–9
  29. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Amtat FC 3–2 Ulaangom City
  30. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 71% now
  31. 67′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 3–2 · 72–20–8
  32. 73′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 3–2 · 75–20–6
  33. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
  34. 79′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 3–2 · 80–17–3
  35. 83′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–1
  36. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
  37. 87′Amtat FC find the net on 87′. 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
  38. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Amtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City
  39. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Amtat FC win: 48% at kick-off, 99% now
  40. 88′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–2 · 99–1–0
  41. 89′We said Amtat FC at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
  42. 90′That is 6, and we only asked for 5.7 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
  43. FTFULL TIME Amtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City
  44. FTAmtat FC 4–2 Ulaangom City · Amtat FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Amtat FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Amtat FC 48%, draw 16%, Ulaangom City 36%. Over 2.5 goals 90%, both teams to score 85%.

The AI’s read on Amtat FC v Ulaangom CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 15 Oct 08:30 · locked at kick-off

Amtat FC win48%
Draw16%
Ulaangom City win36%

Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 09:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Amtat FC

Ulaangom City

5Days since last match10
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.

League table

2027/28

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Amtat FC6-263
9Ulaangom City6-220

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · amtat fc winFirst published 9 Oct 07:15 · updated 15 Oct 08:30 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Amtat FC a 48% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–2.6, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 5%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Amtat FC v Ulaangom City3.02 – 2.63
Last six in Premier LeagueW1 D0 L5 · W0 D0 L6
Table places · points 3 v 08 v 9

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 07:2115 OCT 04:52
Our probability · amtat fc win

Published at 57%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Amtat FC win48%––
Draw16%––
Ulaangom City win36%––
Over 2.5 goals90%––
Both teams to score85%––
Over 1.5 goals97%––
Over 3.5 goals79%––
Amtat FC or draw64%––
Amtat FC clean sheet9%––
Ulaangom City clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 4.9%
0123450 1 3.4 3.7 3.1 2.1 2 4.2 4.9 4.1 2.7 3 4.0 4.8 4.0 2.6 4 3.1 3.7 3.1 2.0 5 2.0 2.4 2.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Amtat FC down, Ulaangom City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Premier League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Premier League

AMTAT FC

LWLLLL0–2 · 2–1 · 0–9 · 2–5 · 1–6 · 0–8

ULAANGOM CITY

LLLLLL0–1 · 1–4 · 0–5 · 1–4 · 2–4 · 0–8

The table

2027/28
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Central Stallions72221
2Ulaanbaatar73319
3Deren81717
4Hunters71012
5Khovd7310
6Erchim7-156
7Khovd Western7-223
8Amtat FC6-263
9Ulaangom City6-220

The competition's standings.