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Sheriff Tiraspol v Sireți
Sheriff Tiraspol
SirețiSuper Liga · SAT 17 OCT · Sheriff Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sheriff Tiraspol win at 78%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Sheriff Tiraspol 78% before kick-off, 78% now. 0–0 · 78–16–6
- 1′KICK-OFF Sheriff Tiraspol v Sireți
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 68% now
- 37′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 66%. 0–0 · 66–26–8
- 39′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 1–0 · 92–7–1
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0 Sireți
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 92% now
- 39′GOAL DISALLOWED · 39' Sheriff Tiraspol
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 65% now
- 40′A goal for Sheriff Tiraspol on 39′. 0–0 · 65–27–8
- 41′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–28–8
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Sireți
- 45′HALF-TIME Sheriff Tiraspol 0–0 Sireți
- 45′SECOND HALF Sheriff Tiraspol 0–0 Sireți
- 50′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–33–8
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 58% now
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 55–37–8
- 56′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–38–8
- 62′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–44–7
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 48% now
- 67′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–50–7
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Sheriff Tiraspol win 43%)
- 71′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–55–6
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 38% now
- 74′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–60–6
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0 Sireți
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 94% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Sheriff Tiraspol win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
- 75′A goal for Sheriff Tiraspol on 75′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 94–5–0
- 76′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Sheriff Tiraspol win: 78% at kick-off, 98% now
- 90′We said Sheriff Tiraspol at 78% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Sheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Sireți
- 91′Sheriff Tiraspol score on 90′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 93′2–0 at the end. Our 78% on Sheriff Tiraspol comes in. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Sheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Sireți
- FTSheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Sireți · Sheriff Tiraspol win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSheriff Tiraspol are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sheriff Tiraspol 78%, draw 16%, Sireți 6%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Sheriff Tiraspol win78%
Sireți win6%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 15
VenueSheriff Arena
Match timeline
All events
Sheriff TiraspolMIN
SirețiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sireți
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sireți
Last match: 10 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)
Last match: 10 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sheriff Tiraspol
Formation not confirmed
28 N. Cebotari
2 M. Ouedraogo
9 K. Kalabatama
10 V. Fratea
15 B. Ciss
24 D. Forov
26 D. Klas
30 A. Egupov
35 B. Fomba
76 A. Pergjoni
77 J. Pineda
Coach · Victor Mihailov
Substitutes
12 · R. Josan
11 · Sapata
22 · Mota
27 · V. Cozma
32 · E. Afetse
33 · M. Corotcov
42 · L. Jaures-Ulrich
90 · V. Costin
Sireți
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Agachi
3 S. Burghiu
6 D. Lisu
7 A. Casco
17 C. Cotogoi
18 N. Covali
21 B. Rosca
22 A. Rusnac
55 G. Brinzaniuc
69 D. Bivol
70 L. Radu
Coach · –
Substitutes
96 · A. Munteanu
2 · I. Dodon
5 · V. Rebeja
9 · E. Borovschi
10 · O. Molla
11 · M. Blajchin
16 · D. Dosca
19 · A. Bilinschii
25 · A. Sosnovschi
33 · E. Pisica
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sheriff Tiraspol
Formation not confirmed
28 N. Cebotari
2 M. Ouedraogo
9 K. Kalabatama
10 V. Fratea
15 B. Ciss
24 D. Forov
26 D. Klas
30 A. Egupov
35 B. Fomba
76 A. Pergjoni
77 J. Pineda
Coach · Victor Mihailov
Substitutes
12 · R. Josan
11 · Sapata
22 · Mota
27 · V. Cozma
32 · E. Afetse
33 · M. Corotcov
42 · L. Jaures-Ulrich
90 · V. Costin
Sireți
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Agachi
3 S. Burghiu
6 D. Lisu
7 A. Casco
17 C. Cotogoi
18 N. Covali
21 B. Rosca
22 A. Rusnac
55 G. Brinzaniuc
69 D. Bivol
70 L. Radu
Coach · –
Substitutes
96 · A. Munteanu
2 · I. Dodon
5 · V. Rebeja
9 · E. Borovschi
10 · O. Molla
11 · M. Blajchin
16 · D. Dosca
19 · A. Bilinschii
25 · A. Sosnovschi
33 · E. Pisica
We make Sheriff Tiraspol a 78% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–0.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol win | 78% | 81% | −3 |
| Draw | 16% | 14% | +2 |
| Sireți win | 6% | 6% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 60% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 81% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Sheriff Tiraspol or draw | 94% | 94% | 0 |
| Sheriff Tiraspol clean sheet | 60% | – | – |
| Sireți clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 23 Aug
SHERIFF TIRASPOL
SIREȚI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 14 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 | Zimbru | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 3 | Petrocub | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 4 | Dacia-Buiucani | 14 | −2 | 20 |
| 5 | Milsami Orhei | 14 | −4 | 18 |
| 6 | Politehnica UTM | 14 | −1 | 16 |
| 7 | Sireți | 14 | −8 | 10 |
| 8 | CSF Bălți | 14 | −36 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zimbru
Petrocub
Dacia-Buiucani
Milsami Orhei
Politehnica UTM
CSF Bălți