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Petrocub v Milsami Orhei
Petrocub
Milsami OrheiSuper Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Stadionul Municipal
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Petrocub win at 59%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Petrocub was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–26–15
- 1′KICK-OFF Petrocub v Milsami Orhei
- 15′Petrocub find the net on 14′. 1–0. 1–0 · 84–11–4
- 15′We published Petrocub at 59%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–0 · 84–11–4
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Petrocub 1–0 Milsami Orhei
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 84% now
- 19′A goal for Milsami Orhei on 19′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 55–29–16
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Petrocub 1–1 Milsami Orhei
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 55% now
- 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Petrocub
- 24′Milsami Orhei score on 23′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 27–27–46
- 24′We said Petrocub at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–2 · 27–27–46
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 23' Petrocub 1–2 Milsami Orhei
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 27% now
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Milsami Orhei win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Petrocub win 54%)
- 25′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' Milsami Orhei
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 53% now
- 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Petrocub win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Milsami Orhei win 46%)
- 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Milsami Orhei
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
- 42′We said Petrocub at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–37–15
- 45′HALF-TIME Petrocub 1–1 Milsami Orhei
- 46′SECOND HALF Petrocub 1–1 Milsami Orhei
- 48′We said Petrocub at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–41–15
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Petrocub
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Petrocub win 43%)
- 56′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 40–46–14
- 57′We said Petrocub at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–47–14
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
- 63′Petrocub score on 63′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 87–11–2
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Petrocub 2–1 Milsami Orhei
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 87% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Petrocub win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 53%)
- 64′We published Petrocub at 59%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–1 · 87–11–1
- 64′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 87–11–1
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Petrocub
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Milsami Orhei
- 72′We published Petrocub at 59%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 83′We published Petrocub at 59%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Petrocub
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Petrocub win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Petrocub
- FTFULL TIME Petrocub 2–1 Milsami Orhei
- FTPetrocub 2–1 Milsami Orhei · Petrocub win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Petrocub are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Petrocub 59%, draw 26%, Milsami Orhei 15%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Petrocub win59%
Milsami Orhei win15%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 16
VenueStadionul Municipal
Match timeline
All events
PetrocubMIN
Milsami OrheiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Petrocub
Milsami Orhei
Last match: 17 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)
Last match: 18 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Petrocub a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 59% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petrocub win | 59% | 46% | +13 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Milsami Orhei win | 15% | 26% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 45% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 70% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Petrocub or draw | 85% | 74% | +11 |
| Petrocub clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Milsami Orhei clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 30 Aug
PETROCUB
MILSAMI ORHEI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 15 | +27 | 34 |
| 2 | Zimbru | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Petrocub | 15 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 | Dacia-Buiucani | 15 | −2 | 21 |
| 5 | Politehnica UTM | 15 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Milsami Orhei | 15 | −4 | 19 |
| 7 | Sireți | 15 | −10 | 10 |
| 8 | CSF Bălți | 15 | −39 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sheriff Tiraspol
Zimbru
Dacia-Buiucani
Politehnica UTM
Sireți
CSF Bălți