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Petrocub v Dacia-Buiucani

Petrocub
0–0Full time
Dacia-Buiucani

Super Liga · SAT 17 OCT · Stadionul Municipal

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Petrocub 0–0 Dacia-Buiucani PETROCUB WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Petrocub win70%
The market said66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.147
The market’s Brier score1.071

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Petrocub win at 70%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Petrocub was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–20–10
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Petrocub v Dacia-Buiucani
  4. 7′Much as we predicted: Petrocub was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–21–10
  5. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Petrocub
  6. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Petrocub win: 70% at kick-off, 60% now
  7. 38′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 58%. 0–0 · 58–30–12
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Petrocub 0–0 Dacia-Buiucani
  9. 46′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–34–12
  10. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Dacia-Buiucani
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Petrocub 0–0 Dacia-Buiucani
  12. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Petrocub win: 70% at kick-off, 50% now
  13. 54′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–39–11
  14. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 49–40–11
  15. 61′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–45–11
  16. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Petrocub win 42%)
  17. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Petrocub win: 70% at kick-off, 40% now
  18. 66′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–51–10
  19. 71′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–57–9
  20. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Petrocub win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
  21. 75′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–64–8
  22. 78′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–69–7
  23. 81′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–75–6
  24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Petrocub win: 70% at kick-off, 19% now
  25. 84′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–83–4
  26. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Petrocub win: 70% at kick-off, 10% now
  27. 88′We said Petrocub at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–88–3
  28. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Dacia-Buiucani
  29. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Petrocub
  30. FTFULL TIME Petrocub 0–0 Dacia-Buiucani
  31. FTPetrocub 0–0 Dacia-Buiucani · Petrocub win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Petrocub are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Petrocub 70%, draw 20%, Dacia-Buiucani 10%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Petrocub v Dacia-BuiucaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Petrocub win70%
Draw20%
Dacia-Buiucani win10%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 15

VenueStadionul Municipal

Line-ups

Petrocub

Dacia-Buiucani

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Petrocub

Dacia-Buiucani

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)

Last match: 10 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Petrocub14+1125
4Dacia-Buiucani14−220

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Petrocub

Formation not confirmed

31 V. Dodon

21 I. Revenco

90 I. Jardan

3 C. Cucos

2 V. Pascari

77 S. Cojocari

37 D. Puscas

24 O. David

79 V. Bogaciuc

10 B. Musteata

15 P. Popescu

Coach · Shota Makharadze

Substitutes

12 · M. Ciocan

4 · V. Mudrac

7 · M. Iosipoi

13 · M. Cojocaru

20 · S. Svet

23 · M. Lupan

25 · I. Botnari

27 · M. Sava

50 · D. Tugulea

66 · I. Bors

92 · P. Nazari

Dacia-Buiucani

Formation not confirmed

12 R. Dumenco

3 D. Baciu

10 V. Ciumasu

16 A. Muntean

17 C. Nagurnea

20 S. Efros

21 V. Gurgurov

23 R. Novicov

27 S. Turcan

70 V. Colis

90 A. Dijinari

Coach · Viorel Frunza

Substitutes

35 · C. Tuhar

4 · C. Ghedroutan

7 · V. Dumbrava

8 · I. Lambarskiy

9 · V. Lupasco

11 · V. Varzaru

18 · D. Popovici

30 · I. Ciobanu

66 · D. Straistaru

91 · A. Josan

Our number · petrocub winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off
70% The market66%
Us70%
Market66%

We make Petrocub a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Petrocub v Dacia-Buiucani2.27 – 0.72
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 AugW3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 25 v 203 v 4
The market · Petrocub win66% · ours 70%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70%75% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 14:11
Our probability · Petrocub win The market, margin stripped

Published at 71%, 70% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Petrocub win70%66%+4
Draw20%21%−1
Dacia-Buiucani win10%13%−3
Over 2.5 goals57%54%+3
Both teams to score46%48%−2
Over 1.5 goals80%77%+3
Over 3.5 goals35%33%+2
Petrocub or draw90%87%+3
Petrocub clean sheet49%––
Dacia-Buiucani clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.6%
0123450 6.7 2.8 1 10.6 9.2 3.0 2 12.6 8.8 3.3 3 9.4 6.5 2.4 4 5.5 3.8 5 2.7
under 2% 5% 12%+Petrocub down, Dacia-Buiucani across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsDAC 2–1 PET · PET 2–1 DAC · DAC 1–2 PET · PET 3–0 DAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug

PETROCUB

LWDWWD0–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

DACIA-BUIUCANI

DDLWWL0–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sheriff Tiraspol14+2531
2Zimbru14+1527
3Petrocub14+1125
4Dacia-Buiucani14−220
5Milsami Orhei14−418
6Politehnica UTM14−116
7Sireți14−810
8CSF Bălți14−365

The competition's standings before kick-off.