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CSF Bălți v Sireți

CSF Bălți

0–3Full time

Sireți

Super Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Stadionul Orasenesc

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

CSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți CSF BĂLȚI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CSF Bălți win~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.697

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CSF Bălți win at 37%.
2′KICK-OFF CSF Bălți v Sireți
3′Little has changed for our model: CSF Bălți 37% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' CSF Bălți 0–1 Sireți
30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' CSF Bălți
44′Sireți ahead on 27′ through L. Radu. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–69
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' CSF Bălți win: 37% at kick-off, 9% now
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Sireți win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was CSF Bălți win 9%)
45′We said CSF Bălți at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–23–69
45′HALF-TIME CSF Bălți 0–1 Sireți
48′SECOND HALF CSF Bălți 0–1 Sireți
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' CSF Bălți 0–2 Sireți
65′D. Bivol scores for Sireți on 56′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–96
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' CSF Bălți win: 37% at kick-off, 0% now
69′⚽ GOAL · 68' CSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți
77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Sireți
77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' CSF Bălți
83′⚽ GOAL · 27' CSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți · L. Radu
83′🟨 YELLOW · 30' CSF Bălți
83′⚽ GOAL · 56' CSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți · D. Bivol
83′⚽ GOAL · 68' CSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți · M. Blajchin
83′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Sireți
83′🟨 YELLOW · 77' CSF Bălți
86′68′ and it is 0–3: M. Blajchin on the scoresheet for Sireți. 0–3 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME CSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți
FTCSF Bălți 0–3 Sireți · CSF Bălți win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

CSF Bălți win37%

Draw31%

Sireți win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Stadionul Orasenesc

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

CSF Bălți

Formation not confirmed

33 A. Nazarciuc

5 S. Creciun

19 A. Ghinaitis

20 M. Hacina

21 E. Puga

22 R. Gomez

24 D. Rogac

29 N. Garciu

31 D. Harabari

32 S. Roga

55 C. Gutul

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · V. Vesca

7 · D. Rusu

8 · V. Glavatchi

10 · A. Bagrin

71 · D. Faina

Sireți

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Agachi

3 S. Burghiu

9 E. Borovschi

17 C. Cotogoi

18 N. Covali

19 A. Bilinschii

22 A. Rusnac

23 N. Covalschi

55 G. Brinzaniuc

69 D. Bivol

70 L. Radu

Coach · –

Substitutes

77 · S. Obiscalov

2 · I. Dodon

5 · V. Rebeja

7 · A. Casco

8 · A. Arabadji

10 · O. Molla

11 · M. Blajchin

16 · D. Dosca

21 · B. Rosca

25 · A. Sosnovschi

33 · E. Pisica

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

CSF Bălți

Formation not confirmed

33 A. Nazarciuc

5 S. Creciun

19 A. Ghinaitis

20 M. Hacina

21 E. Puga

22 R. Gomez

24 D. Rogac

29 N. Garciu

31 D. Harabari

32 S. Roga

55 C. Gutul

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · V. Vesca

7 · D. Rusu

8 · V. Glavatchi

10 · A. Bagrin

71 · D. Faina

Sireți

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Agachi

3 S. Burghiu

9 E. Borovschi

17 C. Cotogoi

18 N. Covali

19 A. Bilinschii

22 A. Rusnac

23 N. Covalschi

55 G. Brinzaniuc

69 D. Bivol

70 L. Radu

Coach · –

Substitutes

77 · S. Obiscalov

2 · I. Dodon

5 · V. Rebeja

7 · A. Casco

8 · A. Arabadji

10 · O. Molla

11 · M. Blajchin

16 · D. Dosca

21 · B. Rosca

25 · A. Sosnovschi

33 · E. Pisica

Our number · csf bălți winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

37% The market–

Us37%

We make CSF Bălți a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSF Bălți win	37%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Sireți win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
CSF Bălți or draw	68%	–	–
CSF Bălți clean sheet	33%	–	–
Sireți clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%

0123450 11.3 8.9 5.9 2.3 1 9.9 14.0 7.1 2.8 2 7.2 7.8 4.4 3 3.1 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSF Bălți down, Sireți across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 684 Super Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.5% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CSF Bălți at home: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sireți away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for CSF Bălți, 1.14 for Sireți. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SIR 1–1 CSF

Form · last six in Super Liga

CSF BĂLȚI

LLLLLL0–6 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 0–7

SIREȚI

DDDLLL1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	13	+22	28
2	Zimbru	13	+15	26
3	Petrocub	13	+11	24
4	Dacia-Buiucani	13	+1	20
5	Milsami Orhei	13	−4	17
6	Politehnica UTM	13	−1	15
7	Sireți	13	−11	7
8	CSF Bălți	13	−33	5