CSF Bălți v Petrocub prediction · Super Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CSF BălțiDrawPetrocub

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Petrocub 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Petrocub are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSF Bălți 8%, draw 17%, Petrocub 75%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on CSF Bălți v PetrocubBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

CSF Bălți win8%

Draw17%

Petrocub win75%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 17

VenueStadionul Orasenesc

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSF Bălți

Petrocub

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)

Last match: 24 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Petrocub	16	+12	29
8	CSF Bălți	15	−39	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · petrocub winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Petrocub a 75% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSF Bălți v Petrocub~~0.68 – 2.60

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 30 Aug~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 5 v 29~~8 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSF Bălți win	8%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Petrocub win	75%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
CSF Bălți or draw	25%	–	–
CSF Bălți clean sheet	9%	–	–
Petrocub clean sheet	52%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.1%

0123450 5.7 9.2 12.1 10.1 6.8 3.91 2.1 8.1 8.0 6.4 4.1 2.32 2.6 2.9 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSF Bălți down, Petrocub across0–5 goals a side shown (93.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 695 Super Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CSF Bălți at home: 0.67 scored, 3.83 conceded a game (last 6). Petrocub away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.68 goals for CSF Bălți, 2.60 for Petrocub. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PET 3–0 CSF · CSF 1–1 PET · PET 3–0 CSF · CSF 1–1 PET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 30 Aug

CSF BĂLȚI

LLLLLL0–3 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 0–7 · 0–3 · 1–4

PETROCUB

DWWDDW2–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	16	+29	37
2	Petrocub	16	+12	29
3	Zimbru	15	+15	28
4	Dacia-Buiucani	16	0	24
5	Politehnica UTM	16	0	19
6	Milsami Orhei	16	−5	19
7	Sireți	16	−12	10
8	CSF Bălți	15	−39	5