Zimbru II v Vulturii Cutezători prediction · Liga 1

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 15:02

Zimbru II 1–0 Vulturii Cutezători VULTURII CUTEZĂTORI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vulturii Cutezători win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.612

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vulturii Cutezători are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zimbru II 38%, draw 20%, Vulturii Cutezători 43%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Zimbru II v Vulturii CutezătoriBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Zimbru II win38%

Draw20%

Vulturii Cutezători win43%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zimbru II

Vulturii Cutezători

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vulturii cutezători winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Vulturii Cutezători a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zimbru II v Vulturii Cutezători~~1.86 – 2.02

~~Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 21 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 22~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zimbru II win	38%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Vulturii Cutezători win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Zimbru II or draw	57%	–	–
Zimbru II clean sheet	15%	–	–
Vulturii Cutezători clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.4%

0123450 2.3 4.8 4.4 3.0 1 4.4 7.4 7.2 4.8 2.6 2 3.8 6.9 6.4 4.2 2.2 3 2.4 4.4 4.1 2.7 4 2.2 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zimbru II down, Vulturii Cutezători across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 612 Liga 1 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 6.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zimbru II at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Vulturii Cutezători away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.86 goals for Zimbru II, 2.02 for Vulturii Cutezători. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~VUL 5–1 ZIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 21 Aug

ZIMBRU II

LLWDLW1–3 · 1–5 · 4–3 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1

VULTURII CUTEZĂTORI

DWLWWW3–3 · 5–1 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vulturii Cutezători	9	+15	22
2	Iskra	9	+13	18
3	FCM Ungheni	9	+6	14
4	Zimbru II	9	−5	10
5	Univer Comrat	9	−2	9
6	Spartanii Selemet	9	−27	4

The competition's standings before kick-off.

Zimbru II v Vulturii Cutezători

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Zimbru II

Vulturii Cutezători

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 21 Aug

The table