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Model 1.2

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Victoria Bardar v Oguzsport

Victoria Bardar
0–1Full time
Oguzsport

Liga 1 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Victoria Bardar 0–1 Oguzsport OGUZSPORT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Oguzsport win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.529

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oguzsport are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Victoria Bardar 35%, draw 24%, Oguzsport 41%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Victoria Bardar v OguzsportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Victoria Bardar win35%
Draw24%
Oguzsport win41%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Victoria Bardar

Oguzsport

8Days since last match15

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Divisia A · group 2

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Oguzsport8+515
5Victoria Bardar8−67

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oguzsport winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Oguzsport a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Victoria Bardar v Oguzsport1.30 – 1.44
Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 14 AugW2 D1 L3 · W2 D3 L1
Table places · points 7 v 155 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Victoria Bardar win35%––
Draw24%––
Oguzsport win41%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Victoria Bardar or draw59%––
Victoria Bardar clean sheet25%––
Oguzsport clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%
0123450 7.1 10.2 6.8 3.4 1 8.8 10.7 7.8 3.8 2 5.4 7.2 5.0 2.5 3 2.5 3.4 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Victoria Bardar down, Oguzsport across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.17
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsOGU 1–1 VIC · VIC 0–1 OGU · VIC 0–0 OGU · OGU 1–2 VIC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 14 Aug

VICTORIA BARDAR

WLDWLL3–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–2

OGUZSPORT

DLDWWD0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27 · Divisia A · group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Oguzsport8+515
2FC Stăuceni8+312
3Făleşti8011
4FC National Ialoveni8−210
5Victoria Bardar8−67

The competition's standings before kick-off.