Univer Comrat v Zimbru II prediction · Liga 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Univer ComratDrawZimbru II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Univer Comrat 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Univer Comrat are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Univer Comrat 48%, draw 21%, Zimbru II 31%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Univer Comrat v Zimbru IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Univer Comrat win48%

Draw21%

Zimbru II win31%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Univer Comrat

Zimbru II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Zimbru II	11	−2	16
5	Univer Comrat	11	−2	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · univer comrat winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Univer Comrat a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Univer Comrat v Zimbru II~~1.91 – 1.50

~~Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 16~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Univer Comrat win	48%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Zimbru II win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Univer Comrat or draw	69%	–	–
Univer Comrat clean sheet	24%	–	–
Zimbru II clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.4 5.7 3.8 1 7.1 8.8 6.7 3.4 2 6.1 8.5 6.2 3.2 3 3.9 5.4 4.0 2.0 4 2.7 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Univer Comrat down, Zimbru II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 622 Liga 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.4% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Univer Comrat at home: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Zimbru II away: 1.67 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Univer Comrat, 1.50 for Zimbru II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ZIM 1–1 UNI · UNI 4–2 ZIM · UNI 0–4 ZIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept

UNIVER COMRAT

LDDLWL0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 5–4 · 0–1

ZIMBRU II

WDLWWW4–3 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27 · Divisia A · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Iskra	11	+14	22
2	Vulturii Cutezători	11	+9	22
3	FCM Ungheni	11	+11	18
4	Zimbru II	11	−2	16
5	Univer Comrat	11	−2	12
6	Spartanii Selemet	11	−30	4

The competition's standings before kick-off.

Univer Comrat v Zimbru II

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Univer Comrat

Zimbru II

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept

The table