Home › Football › Liga 1 › Spartanii Selemet v Iskra

Spartanii Selemet v Iskra

Spartanii Selemet

1–0Full time

Iskra

Liga 1 · SAT 10 OCT · Stadionul Suruceni

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Spartanii Selemet 1–0 Iskra ISKRA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Iskra win~~71%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.238

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Spartanii Selemet win15%

Draw14%

Iskra win71%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Stadionul Suruceni

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · iskra winPublished 10 Oct 18:18

71% The market–

Us71%

We make Iskra a 71% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–3.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartanii Selemet win	15%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Iskra win	71%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	65%	–	–
Spartanii Selemet or draw	29%	–	–
Spartanii Selemet clean sheet	5%	–	–
Iskra clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 6.7%

0123450 3.8 5.5 5.6 4.5 3.21 4.7 6.7 6.6 5.1 3.42 3.4 4.7 4.5 3.4 2.23 2.4 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartanii Selemet down, Iskra across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 610 Liga 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.1% of games this season, across 43 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 4.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Spartanii Selemet at home: 2.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Iskra away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Spartanii Selemet, 3.25 for Iskra. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ISK 10–0 SPA · SPA 1–0 ISK · ISK 0–3 SPA

Form · last six in Liga 1

SPARTANII SELEMET

LLLLLL2–6 · 0–10 · 1–6 · 3–4 · 2–5 · 1–2

ISKRA

WWWWLW2–1 · 10–0 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vulturii Cutezători	9	+15	22
2	Iskra	8	+14	18
3	Oguzsport	8	+5	15
4	FCM Ungheni	9	+6	14
5	FC Stăuceni	7	+3	11
6	Zimbru II	9	−5	10
7	Univer Comrat	9	−2	9
8	FC National Ialoveni	6	−1	7
9	Făleşti	6	−2	7
10	Victoria Bardar	7	−5	7
11	Spartanii Selemet	8	−28	1