FCM Ungheni v Vulturii Cutezători prediction · Liga 1

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

FCM Ungheni 6–1 Vulturii Cutezători FCM UNGHENI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FCM Ungheni win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.369

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FCM Ungheni are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FCM Ungheni 51%, draw 18%, Vulturii Cutezători 31%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on FCM Ungheni v Vulturii CutezătoriBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

FCM Ungheni win51%

Draw18%

Vulturii Cutezători win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FCM Ungheni

Vulturii Cutezători

8Days since last match8

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fcm ungheni winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make FCM Ungheni a 51% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–2.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FCM Ungheni v Vulturii Cutezători~~2.54 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 22~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FCM Ungheni win	51%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Vulturii Cutezători win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	64%	–	–
FCM Ungheni or draw	69%	–	–
FCM Ungheni clean sheet	15%	–	–
Vulturii Cutezători clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.7%

0123450 2.7 2.4 1 3.4 5.4 5.3 3.4 2 3.8 6.7 6.3 4.1 2.1 3 3.1 5.6 5.2 3.4 4 2.0 3.6 3.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FCM Ungheni down, Vulturii Cutezători across0–5 goals a side shown (92.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 619 Liga 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.7% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 5.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FCM Ungheni at home: 3.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Vulturii Cutezători away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.54 goals for FCM Ungheni, 1.97 for Vulturii Cutezători. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~5.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~VUL 3–4 FCM · FCM 1–3 VUL · FCM 4–2 VUL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 28 Aug

FCM UNGHENI

LWWDLD2–3 · 4–3 · 5–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2

VULTURII CUTEZĂTORI

WLWWWL5–1 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27 · Divisia A · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vulturii Cutezători	10	+14	22
2	Iskra	11	+14	22
3	Zimbru II	11	−2	16
4	FCM Ungheni	10	+6	15
5	Univer Comrat	11	−2	12
6	Spartanii Selemet	11	−30	4

The competition's standings before kick-off.

FCM Ungheni v Vulturii Cutezători

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

FCM Ungheni

Vulturii Cutezători

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 28 Aug

The table