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FC National Ialoveni v Victoria Bardar

FC National Ialoveni
2–1Full time
Victoria Bardar

Liga 1 · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 15:02
FC National Ialoveni 2–1 Victoria Bardar FC NATIONAL IALOVENI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said FC National Ialoveni win55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.299

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC National Ialoveni are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC National Ialoveni 55%, draw 20%, Victoria Bardar 25%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on FC National Ialoveni v Victoria BardarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

FC National Ialoveni win55%
Draw20%
Victoria Bardar win25%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC National Ialoveni

Victoria Bardar

6Days since last match28

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

Last match: 18 Sept · Liga 1 (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4FC National Ialoveni7−37
5Victoria Bardar7−57

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc national ialoveni winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:04 · locked at kick-off
55% The market–
Us55%

We make FC National Ialoveni a 55% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FC National Ialoveni v Victoria Bardar2.14 – 1.31
Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 7 AugW2 D0 L4 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 7 v 74 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 10 OCT 03:5716 OCT 11:38
Our probability · FC National Ialoveni win

Published at 58%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FC National Ialoveni win55%––
Draw20%––
Victoria Bardar win25%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
FC National Ialoveni or draw75%––
FC National Ialoveni clean sheet29%––
Victoria Bardar clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%
0123450 3.7 4.9 3.0 1 7.5 8.5 5.7 2.6 2 7.2 8.6 5.6 2.6 3 5.1 6.0 3.9 4 2.8 3.3 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FC National Ialoveni down, Victoria Bardar across0–5 goals a side shown (96.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsVIC 0–2 FCN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 7 Aug

FC NATIONAL IALOVENI

LLWWLL0–2 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–3

VICTORIA BARDAR

LWLDWL0–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–4

The table

2026/27 · group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Oguzsport8+515
2FC Stăuceni7+311
3Făleşti7010
4FC National Ialoveni7−37
5Victoria Bardar7−57

The competition's standings before kick-off.