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Model 1.2

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Zimbru v Oguzsport

Zimbru
14:00Upcoming
Oguzsport

Cupa · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ZimbruDrawOguzsport
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Zimbru 94%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zimbru are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zimbru 94%, draw 5%, Oguzsport 1%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 28%.

The AI’s read on Zimbru v OguzsportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Zimbru win94%
Draw5%
Oguzsport win1%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zimbru

Oguzsport

10Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zimbru winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
94% The market–
Us94%

We make Zimbru a 94% chance to win. The model expects 3.8–0.3, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zimbru v Oguzsport3.77 – 0.34

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
90%95%100% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Zimbru win

Published at 95%, 94% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zimbru win94%––
Draw5%––
Oguzsport win1%––
Over 2.5 goals78%––
Both teams to score28%––
Over 1.5 goals92%––
Over 3.5 goals59%––
Zimbru or draw99%––
Zimbru clean sheet71%––
Oguzsport clean sheet2%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 14.6%
0123450 1 6.1 2.2 2 11.7 4.0 3 14.6 5.0 4 13.8 4.7 5 10.4 3.5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zimbru down, Oguzsport across0–5 goals a side shown (82.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cupa this season · since 1 Sept

ZIMBRU

No matches in our record yet.

OGUZSPORT

W2–1