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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cupa › Milsami Orhei v FCM Ungheni

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Milsami Orhei v FCM Ungheni

Milsami Orhei
14:00Upcoming
FCM Ungheni

Cupa · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Milsami OrheiDrawFCM Ungheni
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Milsami Orhei 89%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Milsami Orhei are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Milsami Orhei 89%, draw 8%, FCM Ungheni 4%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Milsami Orhei v FCM UngheniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Milsami Orhei win89%
Draw8%
FCM Ungheni win4%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Milsami Orhei

FCM Ungheni

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Super Liga (Moldova)

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga 1 (Moldova)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · milsami orhei winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
89% The market–
Us89%

We make Milsami Orhei an 89% chance to win. The model expects 3.8–0.8, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Milsami Orhei v FCM Ungheni3.83 – 0.82

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Milsami Orhei win89%––
Draw8%––
FCM Ungheni win4%––
Over 2.5 goals84%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals95%––
Over 3.5 goals68%––
Milsami Orhei or draw96%––
Milsami Orhei clean sheet44%––
FCM Ungheni clean sheet2%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.9%
0123450 1 3.6 3.1 2 7.0 5.7 2.4 3 8.9 7.3 3.0 4 8.6 7.0 2.9 5 6.6 5.4 2.2
under 2% 5% 12%+Milsami Orhei down, FCM Ungheni across0–5 goals a side shown (81.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting6.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsMIL 5–1 FCM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cupa this season · since 2 Sept

MILSAMI ORHEI

No matches in our record yet.

FCM UNGHENI

W9–0