Huracanes Izcalli v Irapuato II prediction · Liga Premier Serie B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Huracanes IzcalliDrawIrapuato II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 21:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Irapuato II 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Irapuato II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Huracanes Izcalli 34%, draw 23%, Irapuato II 44%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Huracanes Izcalli v Irapuato IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Huracanes Izcalli win34%

Draw23%

Irapuato II win44%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 21:30

RoundApertura · matchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Huracanes Izcalli

Irapuato II

14Days since last match13

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · irapuato ii winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Irapuato II a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Huracanes Izcalli v Irapuato II~~1.43 – 1.68

~~Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D1 L2 · W3 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 10~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Huracanes Izcalli win	34%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Irapuato II win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Huracanes Izcalli or draw	56%	–	–
Huracanes Izcalli clean sheet	20%	–	–
Irapuato II clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.9 7.9 6.3 3.6 1 6.9 10.3 8.4 4.7 2.1 2 4.7 7.3 5.9 3.3 3 2.3 3.6 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Huracanes Izcalli down, Irapuato II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 768 Liga Premier Serie B matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Premier Serie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Huracanes Izcalli at home: 1.83 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Irapuato II away: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Huracanes Izcalli, 1.68 for Irapuato II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 30 Aug

HURACANES IZCALLI

LLWWD0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 6–1 · 1–1

IRAPUATO II

WLWWD2–1 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Irapuato II	5	+4	10
2	Celaya 2	4	+3	10
3	Racing de Veracruz 2	3	+4	9
4	Huracanes Izcalli	5	+3	7
5	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	4	+3	6
6	Cruz Azul Lagunas	4	0	6
7	Internacional Laguna	4	−1	4
8	Deportivo Ayense	5	−1	4
9	Heroes de Zaci 2	5	−7	4
10	Atletico Hidalgo	3	−8	0