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Heroes de Zaci 2 v Deportivo Ayense
Heroes de Zaci 2Deportivo AyenseLiga Premier Serie B · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Ayense win at 51%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Ayense was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 27–22–51
- 1′KICK-OFF Heroes de Zaci 2 v Deportivo Ayense
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Deportivo Ayense win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Heroes de Zaci 2 0–0 Deportivo Ayense
- 46′SECOND HALF Heroes de Zaci 2 0–0 Deportivo Ayense
- 51′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 24–37–39
- 55′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 23–40–37
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Deportivo Ayense win 36%)
- 61′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 22–44–34
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Deportivo Ayense win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 68′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 19–51–29
- 74′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 16–60–24
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Deportivo Ayense win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 79′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 12–69–18
- 82′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Deportivo Ayense win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 87′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
- 92′We said Deportivo Ayense at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- FTFULL TIME Heroes de Zaci 2 0–0 Deportivo Ayense
- FTHeroes de Zaci 2 0–0 Deportivo Ayense · Deportivo Ayense win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassDeportivo Ayense are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Heroes de Zaci 2 28%, draw 21%, Deportivo Ayense 51%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Heroes de Zaci 2 win28%Deportivo Ayense win51%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 23:00
RoundApertura · matchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Heroes de Zaci 2MINDeportivo AyenseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Heroes de Zaci 2
Deportivo Ayense
Last match: 3 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B
Last match: 4 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Ayense | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci 2 | 4 | −7 | 3 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Deportivo Ayense a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heroes de Zaci 2 win | 28% | 24% | +4 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Deportivo Ayense win | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 58% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 59% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 79% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 36% | +6 |
| Heroes de Zaci 2 or draw | 49% | 48% | +1 |
| Heroes de Zaci 2 clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Deportivo Ayense clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 30 Aug
HEROES DE ZACI 2
DEPORTIVO AYENSE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Irapuato II | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Racing de Veracruz 2 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Celaya 2 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Huracanes Izcalli | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul Lagunas | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 |  Internacional Laguna | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 8 | Deportivo Ayense | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci 2 | 4 | −7 | 3 |
| 10 |  Atletico Hidalgo | 3 | −8 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.