Gorilas de Juanacatlan v Atletico Hidalgo prediction · Liga Premier Serie B

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 08:31

Gorilas de Juanacatlan 7–0 Atletico Hidalgo GORILAS DE JUANACATLAN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gorilas de Juanacatlan win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.104

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gorilas de Juanacatlan are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gorilas de Juanacatlan 74%, draw 15%, Atletico Hidalgo 11%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Gorilas de Juanacatlan v Atletico HidalgoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Gorilas de Juanacatlan win74%

Draw15%

Atletico Hidalgo win11%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 23:00

RoundApertura · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gorilas de Juanacatlan

Atletico Hidalgo

14Days since last match15

Last match: 3 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

Last match: 2 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	4	+3	6
10	Atletico Hidalgo	3	−8	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gorilas de juanacatlan winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 16 Oct 10:33 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Gorilas de Juanacatlan a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gorilas de Juanacatlan v Atletico Hidalgo~~2.74 – 0.87

~~Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D1 L1 · W0 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 6 v 0~~5 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Gorilas de Juanacatlan win

Published at 24%, 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gorilas de Juanacatlan win	74%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Atletico Hidalgo win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Gorilas de Juanacatlan or draw	89%	–	–
Gorilas de Juanacatlan clean sheet	43%	–	–
Atletico Hidalgo clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.9%

0123450 3.5 3.0 1 8.2 6.9 3.1 2 9.9 8.3 3.7 3 8.4 6.9 3.0 4 5.8 4.6 2.0 5 3.4 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Gorilas de Juanacatlan down, Atletico Hidalgo across0–5 goals a side shown (91.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 765 Liga Premier Serie B matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Premier Serie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Gorilas de Juanacatlan at home: 2.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Atletico Hidalgo away: 1.00 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

2.74 goals for Gorilas de Juanacatlan, 0.87 for Atletico Hidalgo. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 29 Aug

GORILAS DE JUANACATLAN

LWDW0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 6–2

ATLETICO HIDALGO

LLL1–2 · 1–3 · 1–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Celaya 2	4	+3	10
2	Irapuato II	4	+4	9
3	Racing de Veracruz 2	3	+4	9
4	Huracanes Izcalli	5	+3	7
5	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	4	+3	6
6	Cruz Azul Lagunas	4	0	6
7	Deportivo Ayense	5	−1	4
8	Heroes de Zaci 2	5	−7	4
9	Internacional Laguna	3	−1	3
10	Atletico Hidalgo	3	−8	0