Cruz Azul Lagunas v Racing de Veracruz 2 prediction · Liga Premier Serie B

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 03:35

Cruz Azul Lagunas 0–1 Racing de Veracruz 2 CRUZ AZUL LAGUNAS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cruz Azul Lagunas win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.728

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cruz Azul Lagunas are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cruz Azul Lagunas 45%, draw 24%, Racing de Veracruz 2 31%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Cruz Azul Lagunas v Racing de Veracruz 2Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Cruz Azul Lagunas win45%

Draw24%

Racing de Veracruz 2 win31%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 23:00

RoundApertura · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cruz Azul Lagunas

Racing de Veracruz 2

14Days since last match13

Last match: 3 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

Last match: 4 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Racing de Veracruz 2	3	+4	9
6	Cruz Azul Lagunas	4	0	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cruz azul lagunas winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Cruz Azul Lagunas a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cruz Azul Lagunas v Racing de Veracruz 2~~1.58 – 1.27

~~Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 9~~6 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cruz Azul Lagunas win	45%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Racing de Veracruz 2 win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Cruz Azul Lagunas or draw	69%	–	–
Cruz Azul Lagunas clean sheet	30%	–	–
Racing de Veracruz 2 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.6 7.9 4.8 2.1 1 9.7 11.0 6.8 3.0 2 7.2 8.3 5.1 2.2 3 3.8 4.4 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cruz Azul Lagunas down, Racing de Veracruz 2 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 765 Liga Premier Serie B matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Premier Serie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Cruz Azul Lagunas at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Racing de Veracruz 2 away: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Cruz Azul Lagunas, 1.27 for Racing de Veracruz 2. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 29 Aug

CRUZ AZUL LAGUNAS

WDWL1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

RACING DE VERACRUZ 2

WDW2–0 · 2–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Celaya 2	4	+3	10
2	Irapuato II	4	+4	9
3	Racing de Veracruz 2	3	+4	9
4	Huracanes Izcalli	5	+3	7
5	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	4	+3	6
6	Cruz Azul Lagunas	4	0	6
7	Deportivo Ayense	5	−1	4
8	Heroes de Zaci 2	5	−7	4
9	Internacional Laguna	3	−1	3
10	Atletico Hidalgo	3	−8	0