Celaya 2 v Huracanes Izcalli prediction · Liga Premier Serie B

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:18

Celaya 2 1–1 Huracanes Izcalli CELAYA 2 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Celaya 2 win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.138

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Celaya 2 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Celaya 2 65%, draw 17%, Huracanes Izcalli 17%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Celaya 2 v Huracanes IzcalliBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Celaya 2 win65%

Draw17%

Huracanes Izcalli win17%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:00

RoundApertura · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Celaya 2

Huracanes Izcalli

13Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

Last match: 2 Oct · Liga Premier Serie B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Celaya 2	3	+3	9
5	Huracanes Izcalli	4	+3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · celaya 2 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Celaya 2 a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Celaya 2 v Huracanes Izcalli~~2.48 – 1.13

~~Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 6~~3 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Celaya 2 win	65%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Huracanes Izcalli win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Celaya 2 or draw	83%	–	–
Celaya 2 clean sheet	33%	–	–
Huracanes Izcalli clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.1 3.8 1 7.5 7.6 4.4 2 8.2 8.8 4.9 3 6.5 6.9 3.9 4 4.1 4.3 2.4 5 2.2 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Celaya 2 down, Huracanes Izcalli across0–5 goals a side shown (94.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 763 Liga Premier Serie B matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Premier Serie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Celaya 2 at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Huracanes Izcalli away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.48 goals for Celaya 2, 1.13 for Huracanes Izcalli. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga Premier Serie B this season · since 30 Aug

CELAYA 2

DWW1–1 · 2–1 · 3–2

HURACANES IZCALLI

LLWW0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 6–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Irapuato II	4	+4	9
2	Racing de Veracruz 2	3	+4	9
3	Celaya 2	3	+3	9
4	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	4	+3	6
5	Huracanes Izcalli	4	+3	6
6	Cruz Azul Lagunas	4	0	6
7	Internacional Laguna	3	−1	3
8	Deportivo Ayense	4	−1	3
9	Heroes de Zaci 2	4	−7	3
10	Atletico Hidalgo	3	−8	0