Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Liga Premier Serie A › Real Apodaca v Guerreros del Pacifico

Back
Mexico flag

Real Apodaca v Guerreros del Pacifico

Real Apodaca
22:00Upcoming
Guerreros del Pacifico

Liga Premier Serie A · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Real ApodacaDrawGuerreros del Pacifico
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Real Apodaca 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Real Apodaca are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Real Apodaca 54%, draw 23%, Guerreros del Pacifico 23%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Real Apodaca v Guerreros del PacificoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Real Apodaca win54%
Draw23%
Guerreros del Pacifico win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 22:00

RoundApertura · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Real Apodaca

Guerreros del Pacifico

7Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real apodaca winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 22 Oct 01:40 · locked at kick-off
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Real Apodaca a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Real Apodaca v Guerreros del Pacifico1.83 – 1.12
Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 12 SeptW1 D0 L5 · W2 D2 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 19 OCT 01:3724 OCT 23:42
Our probability · Real Apodaca win

Published at 56%, 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Real Apodaca win54%––
Draw23%––
Guerreros del Pacifico win23%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Real Apodaca or draw77%––
Real Apodaca clean sheet34%––
Guerreros del Pacifico clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 5.9 5.9 3.4 1 9.6 10.6 5.8 2.2 2 8.7 9.3 5.1 3 5.3 5.7 3.1 4 2.5 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Real Apodaca down, Guerreros del Pacifico across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 12 Sept

REAL APODACA

LWLLLL1–4 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3

GUERREROS DEL PACIFICO

LWDLDW0–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–5 · 3–3 · 4–2