Mineros de Fresnillo v Guerreros

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mineros de Fresnillo win at 57%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Mineros de Fresnillo 57% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–22–22
3. 2′KICK-OFF Mineros de Fresnillo v Guerreros
4. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Mineros de Fresnillo win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
5. 43′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–34–21
6. 45′HALF-TIME Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 Guerreros
7. 46′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–21
8. 46′SECOND HALF Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 Guerreros
9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 40–41–19
10. 56′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
11. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Mineros de Fresnillo win 38%)
12. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Mineros de Fresnillo win: 57% at kick-off, 36% now
13. 64′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
14. 70′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
15. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Mineros de Fresnillo win: 57% at kick-off, 26% now
16. 75′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
17. 79′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
18. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Mineros de Fresnillo win: 57% at kick-off, 16% now
19. 84′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–82–6
20. 87′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
21. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Mineros de Fresnillo win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
22. 93′We said Mineros de Fresnillo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
23. FTFULL TIME Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 Guerreros
24. FTMineros de Fresnillo 0–0 Guerreros · Mineros de Fresnillo win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.