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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Liga Premier Serie A › Mineros de Fresnillo v Calor de San Pedro

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Mineros de Fresnillo v Calor de San Pedro

Mineros de Fresnillo
17:00Upcoming
Calor de San Pedro

Liga Premier Serie A · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mineros de FresnilloDrawCalor de San Pedro
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Mineros de Fresnillo 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mineros de Fresnillo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mineros de Fresnillo 54%, draw 23%, Calor de San Pedro 23%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Mineros de Fresnillo v Calor de San PedroBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Mineros de Fresnillo win54%
Draw23%
Calor de San Pedro win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:00

RoundApertura · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mineros de Fresnillo

Calor de San Pedro

8Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mineros de fresnillo winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 22 Oct 01:40 · locked at kick-off
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Mineros de Fresnillo a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mineros de Fresnillo v Calor de San Pedro1.87 – 1.14
Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 11 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W3 D0 L3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 04:12
Our probability · Mineros de Fresnillo win

Published at 51%, 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mineros de Fresnillo win54%––
Draw23%––
Calor de San Pedro win23%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
Mineros de Fresnillo or draw77%––
Mineros de Fresnillo clean sheet33%––
Calor de San Pedro clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%
0123450 5.5 5.7 3.4 1 9.2 10.5 5.9 2.3 2 8.5 9.3 5.3 2.1 3 5.3 5.8 3.3 4 2.6 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mineros de Fresnillo down, Calor de San Pedro across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsMIN 3–1 CAL · CAL 1–1 MIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 11 Sept

MINEROS DE FRESNILLO

WWLWWD2–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 0–0

CALOR DE SAN PEDRO

WLWWLL4–0 · 0–7 · 3–2 · 7–1 · 1–2 · 2–4