Guerreros v Héroes de Zaci prediction · Liga Premier Serie A

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Guerreros win62%

Draw20%

Héroes de Zaci win19%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 23:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Guerreros

Héroes de Zaci

7Days since last match10

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Guerreros	6	−2	7
18	Héroes de Zaci	6	−9	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · guerreros winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Guerreros a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Guerreros win	62%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Héroes de Zaci win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Guerreros or draw	81%	–	–
Guerreros clean sheet	34%	–	–
Héroes de Zaci clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 4.1 4.1 2.4 1 8.1 8.9 4.9 2 8.7 9.3 5.2 3 6.4 6.8 3.8 4 3.6 3.8 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Guerreros down, Héroes de Zaci across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,513 Liga Premier Serie A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga Premier Serie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Guerreros at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Héroes de Zaci away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.22 goals for Guerreros, 1.11 for Héroes de Zaci. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A

GUERREROS

LLWLWD0–3 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–2

HÉROES DE ZACI

LDLDLL0–3 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Artesanos Metepec	7	+12	19
2	Mineros de Fresnillo	7	+8	14
3	Dragones de Oaxaca	6	+7	14
4	Halcones Negros	7	+14	13
5	Vaqueros Reynosa	6	+3	13
6	Acatlan	7	+2	13
7	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	6	+7	12
8	Acambaro	6	+8	10
9	Calor de San Pedro	6	+1	10
10	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	7	0	8
11	Correcaminos UAT II	6	0	8
12	FC Santiago	6	+2	7
13	Guerreros del Pacifico	5	0	7
14	Guerreros	6	−2	7
15	Atlético Saltillo	6	−6	7
16	Real Refineros	7	−2	6
17	Real Apodaca	6	−5	4
18	Héroes de Zaci	6	−9	2
19	Ciervos	6	−16	1
20	Cañoneros Marina	7	−24	0