Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Liga Premier Serie A › Dragones de Oaxaca v Héroes de Zaci

Back
Mexico flag

Dragones de Oaxaca v Héroes de Zaci

Dragones de Oaxaca
01:00Upcoming
Héroes de Zaci

Liga Premier Serie A · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dragones de OaxacaDrawHéroes de Zaci
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 01:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Dragones de Oaxaca 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dragones de Oaxaca are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dragones de Oaxaca 76%, draw 14%, Héroes de Zaci 9%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Dragones de Oaxaca v Héroes de ZaciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Dragones de Oaxaca win76%
Draw14%
Héroes de Zaci win9%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 01:00

RoundApertura · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dragones de Oaxaca

Héroes de Zaci

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dragones de oaxaca winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off
76% The market–
Us76%

We make Dragones de Oaxaca a 76% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dragones de Oaxaca v Héroes de Zaci2.85 – 0.87
Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 13 SeptW3 D3 L0 · W0 D2 L4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
20%30%40%50%60%70%80% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 22:44
Our probability · Dragones de Oaxaca win

Published at 26%, 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dragones de Oaxaca win76%––
Draw14%––
Héroes de Zaci win9%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals50%––
Dragones de Oaxaca or draw91%––
Dragones de Oaxaca clean sheet43%––
Héroes de Zaci clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.8%
0123450 3.0 2.3 1 7.3 6.4 2.8 2 9.8 8.2 3.6 3 8.9 7.4 3.2 4 6.3 5.2 2.3 5 3.7 3.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Dragones de Oaxaca down, Héroes de Zaci across0–5 goals a side shown (91.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 13 Sept

DRAGONES DE OAXACA

DWDWWD1–1 · 3–0 · 3–3 · 3–2 · 5–1 · 0–0

HÉROES DE ZACI

DLDLLL1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–5