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Model 1.2

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Ciervos v FC Santiago

Ciervos
21:30Upcoming
FC Santiago

Liga Premier Serie A · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CiervosDrawFC Santiago
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 21:30
Before kick-off · Match result · FC Santiago 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Santiago are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ciervos 16%, draw 19%, FC Santiago 65%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Ciervos v FC SantiagoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Ciervos win16%
Draw19%
FC Santiago win65%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 21:30

RoundApertura · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ciervos

FC Santiago

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc santiago winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make FC Santiago a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.2, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ciervos v FC Santiago0.96 – 2.23
Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 11 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ciervos win16%––
Draw19%––
FC Santiago win65%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Ciervos or draw35%––
Ciervos clean sheet12%––
FC Santiago clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.9%
0123450 4.7 9.2 9.9 7.3 4.2 2.11 4.2 9.0 9.2 6.7 3.8 2 2.1 4.3 4.5 3.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ciervos down, FC Santiago across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored2 of 6
Last meetingsFCS 5–0 CIE · CIE 1–2 FCS · CIE 0–3 FCS · FCS 2–1 CIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 11 Sept

CIERVOS

LDLLWL0–4 · 3–3 · 0–5 · 2–5 · 3–1 · 3–5

FC SANTIAGO

LWLDWW0–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–0