Calor de San Pedro v Delfines Coatzacoalcos

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Calor de San Pedro win at 51%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Calor de San Pedro was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Calor de San Pedro v Delfines Coatzacoalcos
4. 32′A red card for Delfines Coatzacoalcos on 31′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 45–31–24
5. 32′🟥 RED CARD · 31' Delfines Coatzacoalcos
6. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Calor de San Pedro win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Calor de San Pedro 0–0 Delfines Coatzacoalcos
8. 46′SECOND HALF Calor de San Pedro 0–0 Delfines Coatzacoalcos
9. 47′Delfines Coatzacoalcos score on 46′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–26–60
10. 47′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
11. 47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Calor de San Pedro 0–1 Delfines Coatzacoalcos
12. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Calor de San Pedro win: 51% at kick-off, 14% now
13. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Delfines Coatzacoalcos win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Calor de San Pedro win 14%)
14. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Calor de San Pedro win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
15. 58′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
16. 64′Calor de San Pedro find the net on 64′. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–51–18
17. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Calor de San Pedro 1–1 Delfines Coatzacoalcos
18. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Calor de San Pedro win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
19. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Delfines Coatzacoalcos win 18%)
20. 65′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–52–18
21. 66′Delfines Coatzacoalcos are down to nine from 65′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 29–53–18
22. 66′🟥 RED CARD · 65' Delfines Coatzacoalcos
23. 67′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–17
24. 68′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 28–55–17
25. 72′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–15
26. 75′Calor de San Pedro have ten men and Delfines Coatzacoalcos nine after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 21–65–13
27. 75′🟥 RED CARD · 74' Calor de San Pedro
28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Calor de San Pedro win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
29. 77′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
30. 83′A goal for Delfines Coatzacoalcos on 83′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–88
31. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Calor de San Pedro 1–2 Delfines Coatzacoalcos
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Calor de San Pedro win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
33. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Delfines Coatzacoalcos win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
34. 84′We said Calor de San Pedro at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
35. 85′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–9–90
36. FTFULL TIME Calor de San Pedro 1–2 Delfines Coatzacoalcos
37. FTCalor de San Pedro 1–2 Delfines Coatzacoalcos · Calor de San Pedro win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.