Artesanos Metepec v Dragones de Oaxaca

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Artesanos Metepec win at 53%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Artesanos Metepec 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
3. 2′KICK-OFF Artesanos Metepec v Dragones de Oaxaca
4. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Artesanos Metepec win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Artesanos Metepec 0–0 Dragones de Oaxaca
6. 48′SECOND HALF Artesanos Metepec 0–0 Dragones de Oaxaca
7. 50′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–36–23
8. 53′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–38–22
9. 57′Goalless on 57′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 37–41–21
10. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Artesanos Metepec win 36%)
11. 63′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
12. 64′Dragones de Oaxaca are down to ten from 64′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 33–47–19
13. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Artesanos Metepec win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
14. 64′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Dragones de Oaxaca
15. 70′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
16. 75′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–14
17. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Artesanos Metepec win: 53% at kick-off, 20% now
18. 80′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–71–11
19. 83′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–78–8
20. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Artesanos Metepec win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
21. 88′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–87–5
22. 92′We said Artesanos Metepec at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
23. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Artesanos Metepec win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
24. FTFULL TIME Artesanos Metepec 0–0 Dragones de Oaxaca
25. FTArtesanos Metepec 0–0 Dragones de Oaxaca · Artesanos Metepec win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.