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Acatlan v Ciervos
AcatlanCiervosLiga Premier Serie A · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Acatlan win at 71%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Acatlan 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–15–14
- 1′KICK-OFF Acatlan v Ciervos
- 35′A goal for Acatlan on 34′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 84–11–5
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Acatlan 1–0 Ciervos
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Acatlan win: 71% at kick-off, 84% now
- 36′We said Acatlan at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–11–5
- 40′Ciervos score on 38′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 60–24–16
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 38' Acatlan 1–1 Ciervos
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Acatlan win: 71% at kick-off, 60% now
- 41′The goal count is tracking the 4.4 we expected. 1–1 · 60–24–16
- 42′We said Acatlan at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–25–16
- 45′HALF-TIME Acatlan 2–1 Ciervos
- 46′SECOND HALF Acatlan 2–1 Ciervos
- 47′Acatlan find the net on 45′. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–12–4
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Acatlan 2–1 Ciervos
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Acatlan win: 71% at kick-off, 84% now
- 49′A goal for Ciervos on 48′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 56–28–16
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Acatlan 2–2 Ciervos
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Acatlan win: 71% at kick-off, 56% now
- 50′Acatlan score on 50′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 84–12–4
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Acatlan 3–2 Ciervos
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Acatlan win: 71% at kick-off, 84% now
- 51′5 goals already, more than the 4.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 84–12–4
- 60′Acatlan find the net on 60′. 4–2. 4–2 · 97–3–0
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Acatlan 4–2 Ciervos
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Acatlan win: 71% at kick-off, 97% now
- 61′We said Acatlan at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 4–2 · 97–3–0
- 62′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.4 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 97–2–0
- 67′A goal for Acatlan on 67′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Acatlan 5–2 Ciervos
- 68′We said Acatlan at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 69′7 goals already, more than the 4.4 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 71′Ciervos score on 70′ to make it 5–3. 5–3 · 98–2–0
- 71′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.4 across ninety minutes. 5–3 · 98–2–0
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Acatlan 5–3 Ciervos
- FTFULL TIME Acatlan 5–3 Ciervos
- FTAcatlan 5–3 Ciervos · Acatlan win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Acatlan are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Acatlan 71%, draw 15%, Ciervos 14%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Acatlan win71%Ciervos win14%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 23:00
RoundApertura · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
AcatlanMINCiervosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Acatlan
Ciervos
Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Acatlan a 71% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 70%, 71% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acatlan win | 71% | – | – |
| Draw | 15% | – | – |
| Ciervos win | 14% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 68% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 62% | – | – |
| Acatlan or draw | 86% | – | – |
| Acatlan clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Ciervos clean sheet | 6% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Premier Serie A this season · since 12 Sept
ACATLAN
CIERVOS