Toluca U21 v Atl. San Luis U21

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Toluca U21 win at 59%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Toluca U21 was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–23–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Toluca U21 v Atl. San Luis U21
4. 4′Atl. San Luis U21 find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 35–23–42
5. 4′We said Toluca U21 at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–1 · 35–23–42
6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 3' Toluca U21 0–1 Atl. San Luis U21
7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Toluca U21 win: 59% at kick-off, 35% now
8. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Atl. San Luis U21 win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Toluca U21 win 35%)
9. 7′We said Toluca U21 at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–23–43
10. 14′A goal for Toluca U21 on 13′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 56–25–20
11. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Toluca U21 1–1 Atl. San Luis U21
12. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Toluca U21 win: 59% at kick-off, 56% now
13. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Toluca U21 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Atl. San Luis U21 win 20%)
14. 29′Toluca U21 score on 28′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 80–14–6
15. 29′We published Toluca U21 at 59%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–14–6
16. 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Toluca U21 2–1 Atl. San Luis U21
17. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Toluca U21 win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME Toluca U21 2–1 Atl. San Luis U21
19. 46′Toluca U21 find the net on 46′. 3–1. 3–1 · 96–4–1
20. 46′We published Toluca U21 at 59%. Our model now makes it 96%. 3–1 · 96–4–1
21. 46′SECOND HALF Toluca U21 2–1 Atl. San Luis U21
22. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Toluca U21 3–1 Atl. San Luis U21
23. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Toluca U21 win: 59% at kick-off, 96% now
24. 47′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 96–4–1
25. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Toluca U21 win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
26. 81′We published Toluca U21 at 59%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
27. 86′A goal for Toluca U21 on 86′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
28. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Toluca U21 4–1 Atl. San Luis U21
29. 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
30. FTFULL TIME Toluca U21 4–1 Atl. San Luis U21
31. FTToluca U21 4–1 Atl. San Luis U21 · Toluca U21 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.