Santos Laguna U21 v Queretaro U21 prediction · Liga MX U21

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 00:00

Santos Laguna U21 3–1 Queretaro U21 SANTOS LAGUNA U21 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Santos Laguna U21 win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.340

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Santos Laguna U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Santos Laguna U21 52%, draw 26%, Queretaro U21 21%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Santos Laguna U21 v Queretaro U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Santos Laguna U21 win52%

Draw26%

Queretaro U21 win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Santos Laguna U21

Queretaro U21

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga MX U21

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga MX U21

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Santos Laguna U21	11	−4	13
18	Queretaro U21	10	−7	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santos laguna u21 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Santos Laguna U21 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Santos Laguna U21 v Queretaro U21~~1.67 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 21 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 13 v 6~~15 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Santos Laguna U21 win	52%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Queretaro U21 win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Santos Laguna U21 or draw	79%	–	–
Santos Laguna U21 clean sheet	38%	–	–
Queretaro U21 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 8.1 6.1 3.4 1 10.9 12.4 5.6 2 9.8 9.5 4.7 3 5.5 5.3 2.6 4 2.3 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Santos Laguna U21 down, Queretaro U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 434 Liga MX U21 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX U21 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Santos Laguna U21 at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Queretaro U21 away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Santos Laguna U21, 0.98 for Queretaro U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~QUE 0–2 SAN · SAN 3–0 QUE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 21 Aug

SANTOS LAGUNA U21

WLDLWD1–0 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–2

QUERETARO U21

LLLLWL0–2 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 4–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Toluca U21	11	+13	31
2	Club Leon U21	11	+11	30
3	Guadalajara Chivas U21	11	+4	21
4	Club Tijuana U21	11	+4	19
5	Club America U21	11	+3	18
6	Atl. San Luis U21	11	−1	18
7	Necaxa U21	12	−4	18
8	Cruz Azul U21	11	+2	16
9	Puebla U21	11	+2	16
10	UNAM Pumas U21	12	0	16
11	Juarez U21	11	−1	16
12	Atlante U21	12	−7	15
13	Monterrey U21	10	+2	13
14	Atlas U21	12	0	13
15	Santos Laguna U21	11	−4	13
16	Pachuca U21	11	−6	9
17	Tigres UANL U21	11	−11	7
18	Queretaro U21	10	−7	6