Juarez U21 v Queretaro U21 prediction · Liga MX U21

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Juarez U21DrawQueretaro U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Juarez U21 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Juarez U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Juarez U21 52%, draw 29%, Queretaro U21 20%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Juarez U21 v Queretaro U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Juarez U21 win52%

Draw29%

Queretaro U21 win20%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Juarez U21

Queretaro U21

7Days since last match10

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga MX U21

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga MX U21

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Juarez U21	14	−3	19
18	Queretaro U21	12	−10	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · juarez u21 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Juarez U21 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Juarez U21 v Queretaro U21~~1.50 – 0.84

~~Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 19 v 6~~14 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Juarez U21 win	52%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Queretaro U21 win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Juarez U21 or draw	80%	–	–
Juarez U21 clean sheet	43%	–	–
Queretaro U21 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.3%

0123450 10.9 7.0 3.4 1 13.3 13.2 5.1 2 10.8 9.0 3.8 3 5.4 4.5 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Juarez U21 down, Queretaro U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 455 Liga MX U21 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX U21 matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.3% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Juarez U21 at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Queretaro U21 away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Juarez U21, 0.84 for Queretaro U21. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~QUE 0–0 JUA · JUA 0–0 QUE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 11 Sept

JUAREZ U21

LLWDLW0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 3–2

QUERETARO U21

LLWLLL1–3 · 0–2 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Toluca U21	14	+24	40
2	Club Leon U21	14	+7	33
3	Club America U21	13	+3	21
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	14	−3	21
5	Atl. San Luis U21	14	−4	21
6	Atlante U21	14	−4	21
7	Necaxa U21	14	−4	21
8	Puebla U21	13	+3	20
9	Club Tijuana U21	13	−1	20
10	Monterrey U21	13	+5	19
11	Cruz Azul U21	13	+1	19
12	UNAM Pumas U21	14	0	19
13	Santos Laguna U21	13	−1	19
14	Juarez U21	14	−3	19
15	Atlas U21	13	−1	13
16	Tigres UANL U21	14	−7	13
17	Pachuca U21	13	−5	12
18	Queretaro U21	12	−10	6