Club Tijuana U21 v Santos Laguna U21 prediction · Liga MX U21

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Club Tijuana U21DrawSantos Laguna U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Club Tijuana U21 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Club Tijuana U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Club Tijuana U21 45%, draw 28%, Santos Laguna U21 27%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Club Tijuana U21 v Santos Laguna U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Club Tijuana U21 win45%

Draw28%

Santos Laguna U21 win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 22:45

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club Tijuana U21

Santos Laguna U21

4Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga MX U21

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Club Tijuana U21	13	−1	20
13	Santos Laguna U21	13	−1	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club tijuana u21 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 22 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Club Tijuana U21 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Club Tijuana U21 v Santos Laguna U21~~1.50 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 11 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 20 v 19~~9 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Club Tijuana U21 win

Published at 47%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Club Tijuana U21 win	45%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Santos Laguna U21 win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Club Tijuana U21 or draw	73%	–	–
Club Tijuana U21 clean sheet	34%	–	–
Santos Laguna U21 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 8.8 7.1 4.5 1 10.0 13.4 6.7 2.5 2 8.3 9.1 5.0 3 4.2 4.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Club Tijuana U21 down, Santos Laguna U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 455 Liga MX U21 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX U21 matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.3% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Club Tijuana U21 at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Santos Laguna U21 away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Club Tijuana U21, 1.10 for Santos Laguna U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CLU 3–0 SAN · SAN 2–0 CLU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 11 Sept

CLUB TIJUANA U21

WLDLDL3–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–5

SANTOS LAGUNA U21

DLWDWD1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Toluca U21	14	+24	40
2	Club Leon U21	14	+7	33
3	Club America U21	13	+3	21
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	14	−3	21
5	Atl. San Luis U21	14	−4	21
6	Atlante U21	14	−4	21
7	Necaxa U21	14	−4	21
8	Puebla U21	13	+3	20
9	Club Tijuana U21	13	−1	20
10	Monterrey U21	13	+5	19
11	Cruz Azul U21	13	+1	19
12	UNAM Pumas U21	14	0	19
13	Santos Laguna U21	13	−1	19
14	Juarez U21	14	−3	19
15	Atlas U21	13	−1	13
16	Tigres UANL U21	14	−7	13
17	Pachuca U21	13	−5	12
18	Queretaro U21	12	−10	6