Club America U21 v Pachuca U21 prediction · Liga MX U21

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Club America U21DrawPachuca U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Club America U21 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Club America U21 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Club America U21 37%, draw 28%, Pachuca U21 35%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Club America U21 v Pachuca U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Club America U21 win37%

Draw28%

Pachuca U21 win35%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club America U21

Pachuca U21

4Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga MX U21

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Club America U21	13	+3	21
17	Pachuca U21	13	−5	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club america u21 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 23 Oct 04:22 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Club America U21 a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Club America U21 v Pachuca U21~~1.34 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 21 v 12~~3 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Club America U21 win

Published at 38%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Club America U21 win	37%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Pachuca U21 win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Club America U21 or draw	65%	–	–
Club America U21 clean sheet	27%	–	–
Pachuca U21 clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 8.3 8.1 6.1 2.7 1 8.3 13.5 8.0 3.5 2 6.3 8.2 5.4 2.4 3 2.9 3.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Club America U21 down, Pachuca U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 455 Liga MX U21 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX U21 matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.3% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Club America U21 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Pachuca U21 away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Club America U21, 1.31 for Pachuca U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CLU 2–2 PAC · PAC 2–2 CLU · PAC 0–0 CLU · CLU 0–0 PAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 11 Sept

CLUB AMERICA U21

WLLWDD2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

PACHUCA U21

DWLLDW0–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Toluca U21	13	+21	37
2	Club Leon U21	13	+10	33
3	Club America U21	13	+3	21
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	13	0	21
5	Atl. San Luis U21	14	−4	21
6	Atlante U21	14	−4	21
7	Necaxa U21	14	−4	21
8	Puebla U21	13	+3	20
9	Club Tijuana U21	13	−1	20
10	Cruz Azul U21	13	+1	19
11	Santos Laguna U21	13	−1	19
12	Juarez U21	14	−3	19
13	Monterrey U21	12	+2	16
14	UNAM Pumas U21	13	−1	16
15	Atlas U21	13	−1	13
16	Tigres UANL U21	13	−6	13
17	Pachuca U21	13	−5	12
18	Queretaro U21	12	−10	6