Atl. San Luis U21 v Queretaro U21 prediction · Liga MX U21

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 18:31

Atl. San Luis U21 3–2 Queretaro U21 ATL. SAN LUIS U21 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Atl. San Luis U21 win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.353

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atl. San Luis U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atl. San Luis U21 51%, draw 24%, Queretaro U21 24%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Atl. San Luis U21 v Queretaro U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Atl. San Luis U21 win51%

Draw24%

Queretaro U21 win24%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atl. San Luis U21

Queretaro U21

3Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga MX U21

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Atl. San Luis U21	12	−4	18
18	Queretaro U21	11	−9	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atl. san luis u21 winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 18 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Atl. San Luis U21 a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atl. San Luis U21 v Queretaro U21~~1.90 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 18 v 6~~7 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Atl. San Luis U21 win

Published at 52%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atl. San Luis U21 win	51%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Queretaro U21 win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Atl. San Luis U21 or draw	76%	–	–
Atl. San Luis U21 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Queretaro U21 clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.3 4.6 3.4 1 7.3 11.0 6.3 2.7 2 7.7 9.5 6.0 2.5 3 4.9 6.0 3.8 4 2.3 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atl. San Luis U21 down, Queretaro U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 441 Liga MX U21 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX U21 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.9% of games this season, across 107 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atl. San Luis U21 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Queretaro U21 away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Atl. San Luis U21, 1.25 for Queretaro U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ATL 3–2 QUE · QUE 1–3 ATL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX U21 this season · since 29 Aug

ATL. SAN LUIS U21

LLWDDL1–3 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4

QUERETARO U21

LLLWLL0–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Toluca U21	12	+16	34
2	Club Leon U21	12	+11	31
3	Guadalajara Chivas U21	12	+1	21
4	Club Tijuana U21	12	+4	20
5	Club America U21	12	+3	19
6	Juarez U21	12	0	19
7	Atl. San Luis U21	12	−4	18
8	Necaxa U21	12	−4	18
9	Puebla U21	12	+2	17
10	Monterrey U21	11	+4	16
11	Cruz Azul U21	12	+1	16
12	UNAM Pumas U21	12	0	16
13	Santos Laguna U21	12	−2	16
14	Atlante U21	12	−7	15
15	Atlas U21	12	0	13
16	Tigres UANL U21	12	−8	10
17	Pachuca U21	12	−8	9
18	Queretaro U21	11	−9	6