Tijuana W v Pumas UNAM W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tijuana W win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tijuana W was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–23–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tijuana W v Pumas UNAM W
4. 14′A. Motau scores for Tijuana W on 13′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–19–16
5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Tijuana W 1–0 Pumas UNAM W · A. Motau
6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Tijuana W win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
7. 15′We published Tijuana W at 40%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–0 · 65–19–16
8. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' A. Pereira · Pumas UNAM W
9. 30′30′: S. Ribeiro on the scoresheet for Pumas UNAM W, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 37–29–34
10. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Tijuana W 1–1 Pumas UNAM W · S. Ribeiro
11. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Tijuana W win: 40% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 44′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 34–34–32
13. 45′HALF-TIME Tijuana W 1–1 Pumas UNAM W
14. 46′SECOND HALF Tijuana W 1–1 Pumas UNAM W
15. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Tijuana W win 34%)
16. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' P. Boakye · Pumas UNAM W
17. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' T. Carter · Tijuana W
18. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Tijuana W win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
19. 61′We said Tijuana W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–45–26
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Pumas UNAM W · On: A. Huerta · Off: A. Hix
21. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' D. Fuentes · Tijuana W
22. 69′We said Tijuana W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Tijuana W · On: D. Carrandi · Off: A. M. Marroquin Corrected
24. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Tijuana W · On: D. Carrandi · Off: M. Surovtseva
25. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 70' A. Paz · Tijuana W
26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Tijuana W win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
27. 74′🟥 RED CARD · 74' K. Hancar · Tijuana W
28. 75′A red card for Tijuana W on 74′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 19–62–18
29. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' C. Montero · Pumas UNAM W
30. 76′We said Tijuana W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
31. 80′We said Tijuana W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
32. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Tijuana W · On: J. Garcia · Off: D. Fuentes
33. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Tijuana W · On: J. Enrigue · Off: T. Carter
34. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Tijuana W win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
35. 85′We said Tijuana W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
36. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Tijuana W · On: F. Ibarra · Off: A. M. Marroquin
37. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Pumas UNAM W · On: E. Gielnik · Off: S. Ribeiro
38. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Tijuana W · On: V. Gonzalez · Off: L. Parra
39. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Pumas UNAM W · On: M. Hernandez · Off: A. Guerrero
40. 91′We said Tijuana W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–91–4
41. FTFULL TIME Tijuana W 1–1 Pumas UNAM W
42. FTTijuana W 1–1 Pumas UNAM W · Tijuana W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.