Puebla W v Tijuana W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tijuana W win at 62%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tijuana W was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 18–20–62
3. 1′KICK-OFF Puebla W v Tijuana W
4. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' A. Lopez · Puebla W
5. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' L. Parra · Tijuana W
6. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Y. Diaz · Puebla W
7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
8. 43′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 19–32–50
9. 44′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 19–32–49
10. 45′HALF-TIME Puebla W 0–0 Tijuana W
11. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tijuana W · On: A. Motau · Off: L. Moran Corrected
12. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Puebla W · On: B. Micheels · Off: A. Lopez
13. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tijuana W · On: K. Hancar · Off: J. Garcia
14. 46′SECOND HALF Puebla W 0–0 Tijuana W
15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tijuana W · On: A. Motau · Off: L. Parra
16. 54′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 18–38–44
17. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 18–39–44
18. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
19. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Tijuana W · On: D. Fuentes · Off: F. Ibarra
20. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Tijuana W · On: A. M. Marroquin · Off: V. Gonzalez
21. 60′Tijuana W ahead on 60′ through K. Hancar. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–14–83
22. 60′We published Tijuana W at 62%. Our model now makes it 83%. 0–1 · 3–14–83
23. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Puebla W 0–1 Tijuana W · K. Hancar
24. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
25. 66′We published Tijuana W at 62%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
26. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' M. Fong · Tijuana W
27. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Puebla W · On: A. Nakano · Off: H. Osorio
28. 71′A red card for Tijuana W on 70′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 2–12–86
29. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' M. Fong · Tijuana W
30. 71′🟥 RED CARD · 70' M. Fong · Tijuana W
31. 72′A. Lopez scores for Puebla W on 72′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 13–57–30
32. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Puebla W 1–1 Tijuana W · A. Lopez (penalty)
33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 30% now
34. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Tijuana W win 30%)
35. 73′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 13–58–29
36. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Tijuana W · On: J. Enrigue · Off: T. Carter
37. 78′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 10–67–23
38. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' N. Collado · Puebla W
39. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 21% now
40. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Puebla W · On: Y. Madrid · Off: A. Sanchez
41. 81′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 9–73–18
42. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Y. Madrid · Puebla W
43. 84′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 6–81–13
44. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
45. 88′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 4–87–9
46. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' A. Lopez · Puebla W
47. 93′We said Tijuana W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 2–95–4
48. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Tijuana W win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
49. FTFULL TIME Puebla W 1–1 Tijuana W
50. FTPuebla W 1–1 Tijuana W · Tijuana W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.