Monterrey W v Pumas UNAM W prediction · Liga MX Femenil

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Monterrey WDrawPumas UNAM W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 03:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Monterrey W 73%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Monterrey W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Monterrey W 73%, draw 16%, Pumas UNAM W 11%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Monterrey W v Pumas UNAM WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Monterrey W win73%

Draw16%

Pumas UNAM W win11%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 03:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueCancha El Barrial

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Monterrey W

Pumas UNAM W

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga MX Femenil

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga MX Femenil

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Monterrey W	11	+27	30
8	Pumas UNAM W	12	+2	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · monterrey w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Monterrey W a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Monterrey W v Pumas UNAM W~~2.67 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in Liga MX Femenil this season · since 6 Sept~~W6 D0 L0 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 30 v 17~~2 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Monterrey W win	73%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Pumas UNAM W win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Monterrey W or draw	89%	–	–
Monterrey W clean sheet	40%	–	–
Pumas UNAM W clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.6%

0123450 3.1 2.6 1 7.4 7.0 3.2 2 9.6 8.8 4.1 3 8.4 7.7 3.6 4 5.7 5.1 2.4 5 3.1 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Monterrey W down, Pumas UNAM W across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,772 Liga MX Femenil matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX Femenil matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.8% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Monterrey W at home: 4.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Pumas UNAM W away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.67 goals for Monterrey W, 0.93 for Pumas UNAM W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MON 3–0 PUM · PUM 4–0 MON · MON 2–1 PUM · PUM 1–2 MON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX Femenil this season · since 6 Sept

MONTERREY W

WWWWWW5–1 · 3–2 · 10–0 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 1–0

PUMAS UNAM W

LWDLWD2–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	América W	12	+42	31
2	Monterrey W	11	+27	30
3	Tigres UANL W	11	+24	28
4	Juárez W	12	+9	27
5	Toluca W	12	+10	26
6	Guadalajara W	11	+17	24
7	Atlético San Luis W	12	−1	19
8	Pumas UNAM W	12	+2	17
9	León W	11	0	16
10	Santos Laguna W	11	−7	16
11	Cruz Azul W	12	−10	15
12	Pachuca W	12	+3	13
13	Atlas W	11	−8	13
14	Tijuana W	12	−11	11
15	Atlante W	11	−9	7
16	Querétaro W	12	−15	6
17	Puebla W	11	−26	4
18	Necaxa W	12	−47	0