Atlas W v Tigres UANL W prediction · Liga MX Femenil

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atlas WDrawTigres UANL W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 01:06

Before kick-off · Match result · Tigres UANL W 73%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tigres UANL W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlas W 11%, draw 17%, Tigres UANL W 73%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Atlas W v Tigres UANL WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Atlas W win11%

Draw17%

Tigres UANL W win73%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 01:06

RoundMatchday 13

VenueEstadio Jalisco

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlas W

Tigres UANL W

8Days since last match12

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga MX Femenil

Last match: 19 Oct · Liga MX Femenil

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Tigres UANL W	11	+24	28
13	Atlas W	11	−8	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tigres uanl w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Tigres UANL W a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–2.4, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atlas W v Tigres UANL W~~0.81 – 2.44

~~Form · last six in Liga MX Femenil this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 28~~13 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atlas W win	11%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Tigres UANL W win	73%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Atlas W or draw	27%	–	–
Atlas W clean sheet	9%	–	–
Tigres UANL W clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.5%

0123450 4.3 9.6 11.5 9.3 5.7 2.91 3.1 7.8 9.0 7.2 4.4 2.22 3.1 3.7 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atlas W down, Tigres UANL W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,772 Liga MX Femenil matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga MX Femenil matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.8% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atlas W at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Tigres UANL W away: 3.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.81 goals for Atlas W, 2.44 for Tigres UANL W. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TIG 3–1 ATL · ATL 0–3 TIG · TIG 1–2 ATL · ATL 1–3 TIG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga MX Femenil this season · since 5 Sept

ATLAS W

LWDWLD0–4 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

TIGRES UANL W

WLWDWW3–0 · 2–5 · 7–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	América W	12	+42	31
2	Monterrey W	11	+27	30
3	Tigres UANL W	11	+24	28
4	Juárez W	12	+9	27
5	Toluca W	12	+10	26
6	Guadalajara W	11	+17	24
7	Atlético San Luis W	12	−1	19
8	Pumas UNAM W	12	+2	17
9	León W	11	0	16
10	Santos Laguna W	11	−7	16
11	Cruz Azul W	12	−10	15
12	Pachuca W	12	+3	13
13	Atlas W	11	−8	13
14	Tijuana W	12	−11	11
15	Atlante W	11	−9	7
16	Querétaro W	12	−15	6
17	Puebla W	11	−26	4
18	Necaxa W	12	−47	0