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CDS Tampico Madero v Durango

CDS Tampico Madero

0–0Full time

Durango

Liga de Expansión MX · SUN 11 OCT · Estadio Tamaulipas

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 04:35

CDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Durango CDS TAMPICO MADERO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CDS Tampico Madero win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.792

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CDS Tampico Madero win at 50%.
1′Much as we predicted: CDS Tampico Madero was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–28–22
1′KICK-OFF CDS Tampico Madero v Durango
4′Much as we predicted: CDS Tampico Madero was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–29–22
29′🟨 YELLOW · 27' I. Ramirez · CDS Tampico Madero
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' J. Gonzalez · Durango
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' L. Gutierrez · Durango
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' E. Torres · CDS Tampico Madero
45′HALF-TIME CDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Durango
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Durango · On: A. Ontiveros · Off: A. Garcia
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Durango · On: D. Oteo · Off: J. Gonzalez
46′SECOND HALF CDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Durango
47′SUBSTITUTION · 47' Durango · On: J. Torres · Off: L. Gutierrez
63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' CDS Tampico Madero · On: F. Lopez · Off: N. Corona
67′🟥 RED CARD · 67' D. Magana · CDS Tampico Madero
75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Durango · On: L. Lorona · Off: J. Angulo
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' CDS Tampico Madero · On: S. Martinez · Off: J. Martinez
85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' CDS Tampico Madero · On: J. Tovar · Off: E. Torres
85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Durango · On: T. Montano · Off: C. Vega Hernandez
90′SUBSTITUTION · 91' CDS Tampico Madero · On: A. M. Ham Puertos · Off: D. Lopez
90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' E. Cantu · Durango
90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' T. Montano · Durango
90′🟨 YELLOW · 95' G. Ruiz · CDS Tampico Madero
FTFULL TIME CDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Durango
FTCDS Tampico Madero 0–0 Durango · CDS Tampico Madero win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

CDS Tampico Madero win50%

Draw29%

Durango win21%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SUN 11 OCT · 02:00

Venue · Estadio Tamaulipas

Referee · E. A. Ramirez Gutierrez

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

CDS Tampico Madero

Formation not confirmed

13 G. Ruiz

3 R. Pena

26 O. Manzanarez

17 I. Ramirez

25 A. Padilla

7 D. Magana

5 I. Ochoa

16 J. Martinez

14 N. Corona

19 D. Lopez

10 E. Torres

Coach · Daniel Alcantar

Substitutes

1 · J. Garcia

20 · J. Tovar

18 · A. Serna

33 · S. Martinez

27 · E. Escalante

177 · O. Mendez

21 · F. Lopez

15 · A. M. Ham Puertos

153 · J. Barrios

Durango

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Munoz

3 J. Gonzalez

35 S. Flores

4 J. Munoz

2 A. Garcia

5 E. Cantu

7 L. Gutierrez

30 A. Escoboza

17 J. I. Reyes Olguin

6 C. Vega Hernandez

27 J. Angulo

Coach · –

Substitutes

33 · A. Pelaez

23 · C. Siqueiros

12 · M. Lozano

13 · A. Ontiveros

21 · D. Oteo

28 · J. Torres

26 · B. Munoz

8 · T. Montano

14 · L. Lorona

10 · J. Gonzalez

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

CDS Tampico Madero

Formation not confirmed

13 G. Ruiz

3 R. Pena

26 O. Manzanarez

17 I. Ramirez

25 A. Padilla

7 D. Magana

5 I. Ochoa

16 J. Martinez

14 N. Corona

19 D. Lopez

10 E. Torres

Coach · Daniel Alcantar

Substitutes

1 · J. Garcia

20 · J. Tovar

18 · A. Serna

33 · S. Martinez

27 · E. Escalante

177 · O. Mendez

21 · F. Lopez

15 · A. M. Ham Puertos

153 · J. Barrios

Durango

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Munoz

3 J. Gonzalez

35 S. Flores

4 J. Munoz

2 A. Garcia

5 E. Cantu

7 L. Gutierrez

30 A. Escoboza

17 J. I. Reyes Olguin

6 C. Vega Hernandez

27 J. Angulo

Coach · –

Substitutes

33 · A. Pelaez

23 · C. Siqueiros

12 · M. Lozano

13 · A. Ontiveros

21 · D. Oteo

28 · J. Torres

26 · B. Munoz

8 · T. Montano

14 · L. Lorona

10 · J. Gonzalez

Our number · cds tampico madero winPublished 11 Oct 02:00

50% The market–

Us50%

We make CDS Tampico Madero a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CDS Tampico Madero win	50%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Durango win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
CDS Tampico Madero or draw	79%	–	–
CDS Tampico Madero clean sheet	46%	–	–
Durango clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%

0123450 12.7 8.7 3.7 1 15.4 12.8 4.8 2 10.7 8.2 3.2 3 4.9 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CDS Tampico Madero down, Durango across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,469 Liga de Expansión MX matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga de Expansión MX matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

CDS Tampico Madero at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Durango away: 0.50 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for CDS Tampico Madero, 0.78 for Durango. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga de Expansión MX

CDS TAMPICO MADERO

LWLDLL0–2 · 4–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–3

DURANGO

DDLWWW0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CA La Paz	12	+13	23
2	Leones Negros UDG	11	+11	23
3	Monarcas	11	+9	22
4	Venados FC	11	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	+4	17
8	Durango	11	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	12	0	16
10	Tapatío	11	0	14
11	Dorados	11	0	13
12	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	12	−13	13
13	Tlaxcala	11	−4	12
14	CDS Tampico Madero	11	−7	11
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	−7	8
16	Tepatitlán	10	−21	6