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Pompiers v Tevragh-Zeïne
Pompiers
Tevragh-ZeïnePremier League · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tevragh-Zeïne win at 35%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Tevragh-Zeïne 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 32–33–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Pompiers v Tevragh-Zeïne
- 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Tevragh-Zeïne win 35%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Pompiers 0–0 Tevragh-Zeïne
- 46′SECOND HALF Pompiers 0–0 Tevragh-Zeïne
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Tevragh-Zeïne win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
- 59′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 22–55–23
- 68′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
- 72′A goal for Tevragh-Zeïne on 71′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 72′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Pompiers 0–1 Tevragh-Zeïne
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Tevragh-Zeïne win: 35% at kick-off, 85% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Tevragh-Zeïne win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 67%)
- 80′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 81′Pompiers score on 81′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 9–81–10
- 81′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–1 · 9–81–10
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Pompiers 1–1 Tevragh-Zeïne
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Tevragh-Zeïne win: 35% at kick-off, 10% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Tevragh-Zeïne win 91%)
- 82′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
- 82′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–1 · 8–83–9
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Tevragh-Zeïne win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
- 89′We said Tevragh-Zeïne at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Pompiers 1–1 Tevragh-Zeïne
- FTPompiers 1–1 Tevragh-Zeïne · Tevragh-Zeïne win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Tevragh-Zeïne just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Pompiers 32%, draw 33%, Tevragh-Zeïne 35%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Pompiers win32%
Tevragh-Zeïne win35%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 18:30
RoundMatchday 2
Match timeline
All events
PompiersMIN
Tevragh-ZeïneEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Pompiers
Tevragh-Zeïne
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Mauritania)
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Mauritania)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tevragh-Zeïne a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 26%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 26% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pompiers win | 32% | 45% | −13 |
| Draw | 33% | 29% | +4 |
| Tevragh-Zeïne win | 35% | 26% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 20% | −2 |
| Pompiers or draw | 65% | 74% | −9 |
| Pompiers clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Tevragh-Zeïne clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 10 Oct
POMPIERS
TEVRAGH-ZEÏNE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N'Zidane | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 | Police | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 3 | Pompiers | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 | Gendrim | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Armée | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | SNIM | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Chemal | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Nouadhibou | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nouakchott Academie | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tevragh-Zeïne | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Nouakchott King's | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kaédi | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 13 | Kédia | 2 | −3 | 1 |
| 14 | AC Douane | 1 | −1 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
N'Zidane
Police
Gendrim
Armée
SNIM
Chemal
Nouadhibou
Nouakchott Academie
Nouakchott King's
Kaédi
Kédia
AC Douane