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Model 1.1

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Nouadhibou v Nouakchott Academie

Nouadhibou
0–0Full time
Nouakchott Academie

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 23:31
Nouadhibou 0–0 Nouakchott Academie NOUADHIBOU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Nouadhibou win54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.825

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nouadhibou win at 54%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Nouadhibou was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–27–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Nouadhibou v Nouakchott Academie
  4. 12′Much as we predicted: Nouadhibou was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–29–18
  5. 42′🟥 RED CARD · 41' Nouadhibou
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Nouadhibou 0–0 Nouakchott Academie
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Nouadhibou 0–0 Nouakchott Academie
  8. 76′🟥 RED CARD · 41' Nouadhibou
  9. 83′🟥 RED CARD · 41' Nouadhibou
  10. FTFULL TIME Nouadhibou 0–0 Nouakchott Academie
  11. FTNouadhibou 0–0 Nouakchott Academie · Nouadhibou win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Nouadhibou win54%
Draw29%
Nouakchott Academie win16%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 12:02

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 20:50

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nouadhibou winPublished 10 Oct 20:48
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Nouadhibou a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nouadhibou win54%––
Draw29%––
Nouakchott Academie win16%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Nouadhibou or draw84%––
Nouadhibou clean sheet50%––
Nouakchott Academie clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.5%
0123450 13.0 6.7 2.8 1 15.5 12.8 4.0 2 12.3 8.4 2.9 3 6.1 4.1 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nouadhibou down, Nouakchott Academie across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsNOU 1–2 NOU · NOU 0–0 NOU

Form · last six in Premier League

NOUADHIBOU

WWDWLW5–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 1–0

NOUAKCHOTT ACADEMIE

DDWWDW0–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

No league table for this competition.