N'Zidane v Pompiers prediction · Premier League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with N'Zidane just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: N'Zidane 37%, draw 31%, Pompiers 33%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on N'Zidane v PompiersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

N'Zidane win37%

Draw31%

Pompiers win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:15

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

N'Zidane

Pompiers

7Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Mauritania)

Last match: 20 Oct · Premier League (Mauritania)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · n'zidane winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make N'Zidane a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · N'Zidane v Pompiers~~1.27 – 1.18

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 10 Oct~~W1 D1 L0 · W1 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 4~~2 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
N'Zidane win	37%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Pompiers win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
N'Zidane or draw	67%	–	–
N'Zidane clean sheet	31%	–	–
Pompiers clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.5%

0123450 10.7 8.4 6.0 2.4 1 9.1 14.5 7.5 3.0 2 6.9 8.0 4.7 3 3.0 3.4 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+N'Zidane down, Pompiers across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,155 Premier League matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 39.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

N'Zidane at home: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Pompiers away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for N'Zidane, 1.18 for Pompiers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~NZI 0–1 POM · POM 3–1 NZI · NZI 2–2 POM · POM 1–0 NZI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 10 Oct

N'ZIDANE

DW0–0 · 2–0

POMPIERS

WD3–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pompiers	2	+3	4
2	N'Zidane	2	+2	4
3	Police	2	+2	4
4	Gendrim	1	+1	3
5	Armée	2	0	2
6	Tevragh-Zeïne	2	0	2
7	SNIM	1	0	1
8	Chemal	1	0	1
9	Nouadhibou	1	0	1
10	Nouakchott Academie	1	0	1
11	Nouakchott King's	2	−2	1
12	Kaédi	2	−2	1
13	Kédia	2	−3	1
14	AC Douane	1	−1	0