Marsaxlokk v Birkirkara

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Marsaxlokk win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Marsaxlokk was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Marsaxlokk v Birkirkara
4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Marsaxlokk
5. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Birkirkara
6. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Birkirkara
7. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Marsaxlokk win 33%)
8. 45′SECOND HALF Marsaxlokk 0–0 Birkirkara
9. 46′HALF-TIME Marsaxlokk 0–0 Birkirkara
10. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Marsaxlokk win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
11. 53′We published Marsaxlokk at 38%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–19–5
12. 53′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 76–19–5
13. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Marsaxlokk 1–0 Birkirkara
14. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Marsaxlokk win: 38% at kick-off, 76% now
15. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Marsaxlokk win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
16. 54′Marsaxlokk find the net on 54′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–19–5
17. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Marsaxlokk 1–1 Birkirkara
18. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Marsaxlokk win: 38% at kick-off, 27% now
19. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Marsaxlokk win 27%)
20. 57′A goal for Birkirkara on 57′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 26–51–23
21. 58′We said Marsaxlokk at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–52–22
22. 58′GOAL DISALLOWED · 58' Birkirkara
23. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Marsaxlokk win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
24. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Marsaxlokk win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 18%)
25. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Marsaxlokk win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
26. 64′We published Marsaxlokk at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
27. 64′A red card for Birkirkara on 64′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 80–17–3
28. 64′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Birkirkara
29. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Fernandinho · Birkirkara
30. 71′We published Marsaxlokk at 38%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
31. 71′A goal for Marsaxlokk on 71′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
32. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Marsaxlokk 2–0 Birkirkara
33. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Marsaxlokk win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
34. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Birkirkara · On: F. Sasere · Off: L. Pahama
35. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Birkirkara · On: Jefferson Vinicius · Off: A. Garzia
36. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Marsaxlokk · On: S. Smajlagic · Off: R. Linden
37. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Marsaxlokk · On: D. Simkus · Off: U. Arias
38. 81′We published Marsaxlokk at 38%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Birkirkara · On: Rafa Santos · Off: Frazan
40. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Marsaxlokk · On: L. Caruana · Off: M. Garcia
41. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Marsaxlokk · On: Weder · Off: J. Minala
42. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Marsaxlokk · On: E. Attard · Off: J. C. Corbalan
43. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Birkirkara · On: J. Busuttil · Off: S. Brewer
44. 94′Full time, 2–0. We called Marsaxlokk at 38% — that one lands. 2–0 · 100–0–0
45. FTFULL TIME Marsaxlokk 2–0 Birkirkara
46. FTMarsaxlokk 2–0 Birkirkara · Marsaxlokk win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.