Hibernians v Birzebbuga

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hibernians win at 51%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Hibernians v Birzebbuga
3. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hibernians 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
4. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Birzebbuga
5. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Hibernians win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
6. 45′SECOND HALF Hibernians 0–0 Birzebbuga
7. 47′HALF-TIME Hibernians 0–0 Birzebbuga
8. 48′We said Hibernians at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
9. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Hibernians win 37%)
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 36–44–20
11. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Hibernians
12. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hibernians · On: J. Roe · Off: J. Wahling
13. 58′We said Hibernians at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–19
14. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Birzebbuga
15. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Hibernians win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
16. 67′We said Hibernians at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–55–16
17. 68′We said Hibernians at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
18. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hibernians · On: B. Druga · Off: A. Sobczyk
19. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Hibernians 1–0 Birzebbuga
20. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Hibernians win: 51% at kick-off, 84% now
21. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Hibernians win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
22. 69′Hibernians find the net on 69′. 1–0. 1–0 · 84–14–2
23. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Birzebbuga
24. 71′We said Hibernians at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
25. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Hibernians · On: Khevin Fraga · Off: M. El Fanis
26. 79′We said Hibernians at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
27. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Hibernians win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
28. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Birzebbuga · On: J. Mendoza · Off: K. Bondin Corrected
29. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Birzebbuga
30. 86′We said Hibernians at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
31. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Birzebbuga · On: P. Tomaselli · Off: L. Riascos
32. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Birzebbuga · On: E. Grioli · Off: R. Thellufsen
33. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Hibernians · On: L. Abela · Off: D. Xuereb
34. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Hibernians
35. 99′1–0 at the end. Our 51% on Hibernians comes in. 1–0 · 100–0–0
36. FTFULL TIME Hibernians 1–0 Birzebbuga
37. FTHibernians 1–0 Birzebbuga · Hibernians win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.