Hamrun Spartans v Balzan FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hamrun Spartans win at 57%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hamrun Spartans was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–26–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hamrun Spartans v Balzan FC
4. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Balzan FC
5. 27′We published Hamrun Spartans at 57%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–13–4
6. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC
7. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Hamrun Spartans win: 57% at kick-off, 82% now
8. 28′Hamrun Spartans find the net on 28′. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–13–4
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–4
10. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Balzan FC
11. 45′SECOND HALF Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC
12. 48′HALF-TIME Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC
13. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Balzan FC
14. 55′We published Hamrun Spartans at 57%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
15. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Hamrun Spartans
16. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Hamrun Spartans win: 57% at kick-off, 87% now
17. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Hamrun Spartans · On: D. Ceter · Off: M. Trotta
18. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Hamrun Spartans
19. 72′We said Hamrun Spartans at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–64–11
20. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Balzan FC
21. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Hamrun Spartans win: 57% at kick-off, 25% now
22. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Hamrun Spartans win 89%)
23. 73′A goal for Balzan FC on 72′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 24–66–11
24. 73′We said Hamrun Spartans at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–66–11
25. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Balzan FC · On: Rosiel · Off: S. Arab
26. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Balzan FC · On: Z. Grech · Off: Gabriel Santos
27. 78′We said Hamrun Spartans at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–73–8
28. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Hamrun Spartans win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
29. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hamrun Spartans · On: A. Coric · Off: O. Bjelicic
30. 82′We said Hamrun Spartans at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–81–6
31. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Balzan FC · On: N. Pulis · Off: S. Cipriott
32. 85′We said Hamrun Spartans at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
33. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Hamrun Spartans win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
34. 91′We said Hamrun Spartans at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
35. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Balzan FC
36. 94′A red card for Balzan FC on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 2–97–1
37. 94′🟥 RED CARD · 90+4' Balzan FC
38. FTFULL TIME Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Balzan FC
39. FTHamrun Spartans 1–1 Balzan FC · Hamrun Spartans win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.