Gzira United v Mosta

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gzira United win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gzira United 37% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–26–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gzira United v Mosta
4. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Mosta
5. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Mosta
6. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Gzira United win 32%)
7. 45′SECOND HALF Gzira United 0–0 Mosta
8. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Wanderson Gotinha · Mosta
9. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Gzira United
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 28–45–27
11. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Gzira United win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
12. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Mosta
13. 62′We said Gzira United at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–51–24
14. 63′We said Gzira United at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–52–24
15. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Gzira United
16. 72′We said Gzira United at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–62–19
17. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Gzira United win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
18. 78′We said Gzira United at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–14
19. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Gzira United
20. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Gzira United
21. 81′We said Gzira United at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–11–89
22. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Gzira United 0–1 Mosta
23. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Gzira United win: 37% at kick-off, 1% now
24. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Mosta win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 11%)
25. 83′Mosta find the net on 82′. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–9–91
26. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Gzira United 0–2 Mosta
27. 87′A goal for Mosta on 88′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–6–94
28. 87′GOAL DISALLOWED · 87' Mosta
29. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Gzira United
30. 94′A goal for Gzira United on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 1–97–1
31. 94′⚽ GOAL · 94' Gzira United 1–1 Mosta
32. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 95' Mosta
33. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 94' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Mosta win 1%)
34. 96′1–1 at the end. Our 37% on Gzira United misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
35. FTFULL TIME Gzira United 1–1 Mosta
36. FTGzira United 1–1 Mosta · Gzira United win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.